The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator of the CFA Romania Association decreased in March 1.4 points to 51.6 points, a situation that was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator: the increase of 5.2 points for current conditions and, at the same time, the decrease of 4.7 points for expectations that have a horizon of 12 months.According to a press release from the association, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (April 2025) averaged 5.33%. At the same time, more than 75% of participants anticipate a reduction in the inflation rate over the next 12 months.As regards the EUR/RON exchange rate, around 88% of participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months and the rest a stagnation. Thus, the average value of expectations for the 6-month horizon is 4.9961 lei for one euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0419 lei for one euro."Although, in the short term, due to the inflow of public money, confidence in the economy is growing, for the 12-month horizon, given the macroeconomic imbalances and high fiscal uncertainty, confidence in the economy has declined," said CFA Romania vice president Adrian Codirlasu.Regarding the evolution of residential property prices in the cities, most of the participants, 44% expect a stability in the next 12 months, while 38% expect an increase in prices. Also, 62% of participants believe that current prices are overpriced, while 38% believe that they are correctly priced.The projected state budget deficit for 2024 is expected (average value of expectations) to be 5.4%, and economic growth is expected to be 2.7%.Public debt, calculated as a percentage of GDP, is expected to increase to 53% in the next 12 months.In the March exercise a survey was also conducted on the evolution of the inflation rate in the coming years as well as on the evolution of the monetary policy interest rate. Thus, 29% of survey participants expect the first interest rate cut in May 2024 and 36% expect the first interest rate cut in July 2024. As for the inflation rate entering the target range (1.5% - 3.5%), 56% of participants anticipate it will happen in 2025, while 25% anticipate that this will happen in 2026.
June is the richest month. The most awaited two weeks in my annual festival pilgrimage. The route starts with Romania’s Transilvania International Film Festival (TIFF), followed by Italy’s (and the world’s) most comprehensive festival for restored and archival film: Il Cinema Ritrovato. To shake up the traditional article on the two, I’ll start with the […]
Different Beauty, a recently opened exhibition of works by Czech photographer David Těšínský, offers a glimpse into everyday life in the war-torn region of Donbas in 2017. The photos were taken within the span of only a few days, as Těšínský traveled to eastern Ukraine to document the lives of women impacted by war. In […]
Different Beauty, a recently opened exhibition of works by Czech photographer David Těšínský, offers a glimpse into everyday life in the war-torn region of Donbas in 2017. The photos were taken within the span of only a few days, as Těšínský traveled to eastern Ukraine to document the lives of women impacted by war. In […]
Roughly 70% of Romanians are “very” or “moderately” concerned about how AI accesses and uses their data, according to the latest survey conducted by RoCoach in partnership with Novel Research between May and June 2025. Distrust in automated decision-making and the demand for regulation are becoming more pronounced, as Romania rolls out major digitalization projects […]
The Armenian Street Festival returns for a 9th edition between August 1 and 3, 2025, in the “Dimitrie Brândză” Botanical Garden in Bucharest. The festival brings into focus the living heritage of the Armenian community in Romania and the diaspora. According to the organizers, this year’s edition aims to strengthen the Bucharest–Chișinău–Yerevan cultural axis, articulated […]
The Romanian mergers and acquisitions market registered a total of 122 announced transactions in the first half of 2025, with a value exceeding EUR 2.7 billion, marking a slight increase of 6% in volume and 4% in value compared to the same period last year, according to an analysis by George Ureche, partner at PwC Romania. […]
