The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator of the CFA Romania Association decreased in March 1.4 points to 51.6 points, a situation that was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator: the increase of 5.2 points for current conditions and, at the same time, the decrease of 4.7 points for expectations that have a horizon of 12 months.According to a press release from the association, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (April 2025) averaged 5.33%. At the same time, more than 75% of participants anticipate a reduction in the inflation rate over the next 12 months.As regards the EUR/RON exchange rate, around 88% of participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months and the rest a stagnation. Thus, the average value of expectations for the 6-month horizon is 4.9961 lei for one euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0419 lei for one euro."Although, in the short term, due to the inflow of public money, confidence in the economy is growing, for the 12-month horizon, given the macroeconomic imbalances and high fiscal uncertainty, confidence in the economy has declined," said CFA Romania vice president Adrian Codirlasu.Regarding the evolution of residential property prices in the cities, most of the participants, 44% expect a stability in the next 12 months, while 38% expect an increase in prices. Also, 62% of participants believe that current prices are overpriced, while 38% believe that they are correctly priced.The projected state budget deficit for 2024 is expected (average value of expectations) to be 5.4%, and economic growth is expected to be 2.7%.Public debt, calculated as a percentage of GDP, is expected to increase to 53% in the next 12 months.In the March exercise a survey was also conducted on the evolution of the inflation rate in the coming years as well as on the evolution of the monetary policy interest rate. Thus, 29% of survey participants expect the first interest rate cut in May 2024 and 36% expect the first interest rate cut in July 2024. As for the inflation rate entering the target range (1.5% - 3.5%), 56% of participants anticipate it will happen in 2025, while 25% anticipate that this will happen in 2026.
The gross income of employees who worked full-time under a labour contract and were paid for the entire month of October 2024 was RON 8,374, more than a quarter above the basic gross salary of RON 6,553, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Around 40% of these employees earned […]
Over 31,600 building permits for residential properties were issued in the first ten months of this year, up 4.1% compared with the same period last year, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Increases were recorded in all development regions: West (+297 permits), Centre (+235), North-West (+192), North-East (+134), South-East […]
VAT revenues increased in the third quarter of this year by 6.74 billion lei compared to the same period last year, totaling 35.48 billion RON, out of a total of 94.75 billion RON for the first nine months of 2025, according to data transmitted on Monday by the Ministry of Finance.Of the amount of 6.74 […]
Banca Comerciala Romana (BCR) listed on Friday a new bond issue on the Regulated Market of the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB), worth 1.12 billion RON, the BVB said in a release.This is the 11th bond issue listed by BCR on the Stock Exchange to date, bringing the total value of BCR's listed bonds close to […]
Romania's insurance sector is strengthening its performance against the backdrop of a dynamic market undergoing significant structural transformation, according to a new study on developments in the insurance markets of Central and Eastern Europe, conducted by a consultancy firm in partnership with a research provider."Romania stands out as one of the most dynamic insurance […]
The minimum turnover tax is a barrier to investment, and in a period when the private sector is undergoing restructuring and layoffs, it adds additional pressure on companies, according to a letter signed by 14 investor organizations that once again request the elimination of the minimum tax."In view of the discussions on the construction […]
