The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator of the CFA Romania Association decreased in March 1.4 points to 51.6 points, a situation that was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator: the increase of 5.2 points for current conditions and, at the same time, the decrease of 4.7 points for expectations that have a horizon of 12 months.According to a press release from the association, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (April 2025) averaged 5.33%. At the same time, more than 75% of participants anticipate a reduction in the inflation rate over the next 12 months.As regards the EUR/RON exchange rate, around 88% of participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months and the rest a stagnation. Thus, the average value of expectations for the 6-month horizon is 4.9961 lei for one euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0419 lei for one euro."Although, in the short term, due to the inflow of public money, confidence in the economy is growing, for the 12-month horizon, given the macroeconomic imbalances and high fiscal uncertainty, confidence in the economy has declined," said CFA Romania vice president Adrian Codirlasu.Regarding the evolution of residential property prices in the cities, most of the participants, 44% expect a stability in the next 12 months, while 38% expect an increase in prices. Also, 62% of participants believe that current prices are overpriced, while 38% believe that they are correctly priced.The projected state budget deficit for 2024 is expected (average value of expectations) to be 5.4%, and economic growth is expected to be 2.7%.Public debt, calculated as a percentage of GDP, is expected to increase to 53% in the next 12 months.In the March exercise a survey was also conducted on the evolution of the inflation rate in the coming years as well as on the evolution of the monetary policy interest rate. Thus, 29% of survey participants expect the first interest rate cut in May 2024 and 36% expect the first interest rate cut in July 2024. As for the inflation rate entering the target range (1.5% - 3.5%), 56% of participants anticipate it will happen in 2025, while 25% anticipate that this will happen in 2026.
Romanian prime minister Marcel Ciolacu stated during an interview on Thursday, October 17, that Romania will surely join the Schengen Area with its land borders this year. Ciolacu blamed the delays in joining the border-free area on his predecessor and current competitor for the position of president of Romania, liberal leader Nicolae Ciuca. "We have […]
Italian group Artsana SpA decided to close down in November the factory it operates in northeast Romania, in Botoşani, according to documents consulted by Economica. It employs 261 people there and produces parts for the global group Chicco. The...
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The Polish electronic recycling group Polish Elemental Holding entered the Romanian market by taking over an 80% stake in the small-sized local player, ACC Recycling Services. It also announced it is developing a EUR 20 million factory in Deva, according to Ziarul Financiar. The project is partly financed...
Two Romanian electricity utility companies, Electrica (BVB: El) and Renovatio Trading, will receive EUR 6.4 million in grants under a EUR 103 million scheme financed under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) to develop power storage capacities of 130MWh. The Romanian electricity distributor and supplier Electrica (BVB: EL) will receive EUR 3.4 million for […]
The new European Commission must come up with "a much more sustainable approach for the car industry" because otherwise, in the next two years, a large number of jobs will be lost, Romanian prime minister Marcel Ciolacu said on October 17. The Romanian prime minister emphasized that the engine of the European economy is this […]
