CFA Society Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased by 2.3 points in January 2025, to 40.4 points, and the inflation rate in the next 12 months is anticipated at 4.97%."Also this year, the main challenges of the Romanian economy will be the a wide government deficit, economic growth below potential, as well as inflation. Thus, the participants in the survey are expecting the deficit to narrow by only one percentage point, economic growth similar to the one recorded in the previous year and also the inflation rate levelling out at its current value," according to Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Society.The Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased in January by 2.3 points, up to 40.4 points. This situation was due to an increase in both its components. Thus, the expectations component increased by 1.7 points, to 32.5 points. At the same time, the current conditions component increased by 3.5 points, to 56.2 points.At the same time, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (February 2026) stood at an average of 4.97%.As for the euro (EUR)/leu (RON) exchange rate, all participants anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is RON 5.0759 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is RON 5.1595 to the euro.Regarding the developments in residential property prices in cities, 39% of the participants are expecting stagnation in the next 12 months, while 45% are expecting an increase and 29% a decrease. Also, 62% of the participants consider that the current prices are overvalued, and 33% that they are correctly valued.The government deficit forecast for 2025 stayed at the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP. Economic growth expectations for 2025 are slightly higher than the previous year, at an average value of 1.5%.The public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 55% in the next 12 months.The survey has been conducted monthly by the CFA Society Romania for over 13 years, being an indicator through which the organisation wants to quantify the expectations of financial analysts regarding the economic activity in Romania for a time horizon of one year.CFA Society Romania is an organisation of investment professionals in Romania, holders of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) title, a qualification administered by the US CFA Institute.
The Supreme Council of National Defense (CSAT) has approved the acquisition of a new light corvette for the Romanian Naval Forces, part of the country's military modernization efforts. The decision was made during a meeting on Friday, March 28, at Cotroceni Palace, presided over by interim president Ilie Bolojan. The procurement process will be initiated […]
The National Audiovisual Council (CNA), which governs TV and media in Romania, has recently come under fire after it issued an order for the removal of a video in which a journalist states that the decision of the Central Electoral Bureau to eliminate pro-Russian Călin Georgescu from the presidential race is a coup d'état. The […]
A report from World Vision Romania draws attention to how exposure to toxic content on social media is increasingly affecting girls and young women. Due to insecurities about their bodies, six out of ten teenage girls have tried extreme or unhealthy diets at least once in their lives so as to lose or gain weight. Social […]
Famed Argentine-born pianist Martha Argerich was awarded the "Faithful Service Order in the rank of Grand Officer" by the Romanian Presidency, represented by Romanian Honorary Consul to Switzerland Ion Marin, during a special ceremony held on March 27 at Lugano. The ceremony was attended by Andreea Guțu, Chargé d’Affaires ad interim at the Romanian Embassy […]
A study conducted by CED Romania and Accenture, with the support of the European Accessibility Resource Centre AccessibleEU, shows that when meeting a person with disabilities for the first time, half of Romanians without disabilities want to help and be useful, but many more (66%) fear causing offense. The study also reveals major gaps between […]
A recently launched hop-on hop-off tourist bus service in Romania connects UNESCO heritage sites between Sibiu, Sighișoara, and Brașov in the famous region of Transylvania. Operated by Carpathian Travel Center in partnership with the Sibiu County Tourism Association, the UNESCO-Bus offers visitors the freedom to discover the breathtaking landscapes and medieval landmarks of the Transylvanian […]
