CFA Society Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased by 2.3 points in January 2025, to 40.4 points, and the inflation rate in the next 12 months is anticipated at 4.97%."Also this year, the main challenges of the Romanian economy will be the a wide government deficit, economic growth below potential, as well as inflation. Thus, the participants in the survey are expecting the deficit to narrow by only one percentage point, economic growth similar to the one recorded in the previous year and also the inflation rate levelling out at its current value," according to Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Society.The Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased in January by 2.3 points, up to 40.4 points. This situation was due to an increase in both its components. Thus, the expectations component increased by 1.7 points, to 32.5 points. At the same time, the current conditions component increased by 3.5 points, to 56.2 points.At the same time, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (February 2026) stood at an average of 4.97%.As for the euro (EUR)/leu (RON) exchange rate, all participants anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is RON 5.0759 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is RON 5.1595 to the euro.Regarding the developments in residential property prices in cities, 39% of the participants are expecting stagnation in the next 12 months, while 45% are expecting an increase and 29% a decrease. Also, 62% of the participants consider that the current prices are overvalued, and 33% that they are correctly valued.The government deficit forecast for 2025 stayed at the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP. Economic growth expectations for 2025 are slightly higher than the previous year, at an average value of 1.5%.The public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 55% in the next 12 months.The survey has been conducted monthly by the CFA Society Romania for over 13 years, being an indicator through which the organisation wants to quantify the expectations of financial analysts regarding the economic activity in Romania for a time horizon of one year.CFA Society Romania is an organisation of investment professionals in Romania, holders of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) title, a qualification administered by the US CFA Institute.
Exim Banca Românească continues the savings campaign under which it pays attractive interest rates, above the market average, for new deposits in lei and euro, over 7 months: interest rates of up to 7.20% per year for lei and 2.50% per year for euro. The offer is available both for the PLUS deposit in lei, […]
In a telecom market shaped by economic pressure, fierce competition, and rapidly evolving consumer habits, Orange Romania is betting heavily on network leadership as its defining advantage. With the largest 5G spectrum investment in the country’s history - around EUR 265 million - the company is doubling down on speed, coverage, and long-term infrastructure at […]
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A memorial march will take place in central Bucharest on December 21 to mark the victims of the 1989 Revolution, which led to the fall of communism in Romania. The march will follow the Victory Square – University Square – Revolution...
Cushman & Wakefield Echinox announced the completion of the sale of the Zenith Conference & Spa hotel in Mamaia, one of the top hospitality units on the Romanian seaside, to the owners of Steaua de Mare Hotels & Resorts, based in Eforie Nord. The property was previously controlled by the RC2 investment fund and Antares […]
