CFA Romania analysts anticipate a budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021 and an inflation rate of 5.8% for the 12-month horizon, according to a press release from the organization.Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2021 is 7.3%. The average value of expectations in real terms of GDP in 2021 is +6.6%, and for 2022 it stands at 3.9%. The public debt (percentage of GDP) will reach, in a 12-month horizon, about 54.1%.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon averaged 5.8%. As to the euro / leu exchange rate, over 91% of the survey participants predict a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value). Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0517 lei, while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the forecast exchange rate is 5.1145 lei for one euro. Also, the lowest estimated euro / leu exchange rate for a 12-month horizon is 4.9600.The CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 56.6 points (compared to the same month of the previous year, the indicator increased by 12.1 points). This situation was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator."In the context of the substantial rise in the inflation rate, inflationary expectations for the 12-month horizon continued to go up. In line with this trend, anticipations of higher interest rates on the monetary market rose, these indicating monetary policy interest at least three times higher in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Association.Also, the majority of survey participants, 75%, anticipate that the economic impact of coronavirus will last at least until the fourth quarter of 2022.
A truck belonging to a Moldovan transport company loaded with weapons was detected at the Albita Customs, at the entrance to Romania, on November 20, Europa Libera Romania reported. According to the documents, it was intended for an Israeli beneficiary, but this has not been...
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Cris-Tim Family Holding (BVB: CFH) shares will start trading on the Bucharest Stock Exchange on November 26, following one of the most heavily oversubscribed initial public offerings ever conducted on the local market for retail investors, Ziarul Financiar reported. The listing follows a RON...
Banca Transilvania (BVB: TLV) is preparing to launch a new Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond issue, denominated in euros, with an indicative coupon of 7.625% (semiannual payment), according to Bloomberg information consulted by Economedia.ro. The instrument is a EUR Benchmark Perpetual...
Banca Comercială Română (BCR, part of Erste Bank Group) raised EUR 500 million through its second Eurobond issue, strengthening its access to international capital markets. The issuance follows a local bond sale earlier this month and forms part of the bank’s broader funding strategy. BCR stated that the transaction secured “one of the most competitive […]
