CFA Romania analysts anticipate a budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021 and an inflation rate of 5.8% for the 12-month horizon, according to a press release from the organization.Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2021 is 7.3%. The average value of expectations in real terms of GDP in 2021 is +6.6%, and for 2022 it stands at 3.9%. The public debt (percentage of GDP) will reach, in a 12-month horizon, about 54.1%.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon averaged 5.8%. As to the euro / leu exchange rate, over 91% of the survey participants predict a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value). Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0517 lei, while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the forecast exchange rate is 5.1145 lei for one euro. Also, the lowest estimated euro / leu exchange rate for a 12-month horizon is 4.9600.The CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 56.6 points (compared to the same month of the previous year, the indicator increased by 12.1 points). This situation was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator."In the context of the substantial rise in the inflation rate, inflationary expectations for the 12-month horizon continued to go up. In line with this trend, anticipations of higher interest rates on the monetary market rose, these indicating monetary policy interest at least three times higher in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Association.Also, the majority of survey participants, 75%, anticipate that the economic impact of coronavirus will last at least until the fourth quarter of 2022.
The gross income of employees who worked full-time under a labour contract and were paid for the entire month of October 2024 was RON 8,374, more than a quarter above the basic gross salary of RON 6,553, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Around 40% of these employees earned […]
Over 31,600 building permits for residential properties were issued in the first ten months of this year, up 4.1% compared with the same period last year, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Increases were recorded in all development regions: West (+297 permits), Centre (+235), North-West (+192), North-East (+134), South-East […]
VAT revenues increased in the third quarter of this year by 6.74 billion lei compared to the same period last year, totaling 35.48 billion RON, out of a total of 94.75 billion RON for the first nine months of 2025, according to data transmitted on Monday by the Ministry of Finance.Of the amount of 6.74 […]
Banca Comerciala Romana (BCR) listed on Friday a new bond issue on the Regulated Market of the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB), worth 1.12 billion RON, the BVB said in a release.This is the 11th bond issue listed by BCR on the Stock Exchange to date, bringing the total value of BCR's listed bonds close to […]
Romania's insurance sector is strengthening its performance against the backdrop of a dynamic market undergoing significant structural transformation, according to a new study on developments in the insurance markets of Central and Eastern Europe, conducted by a consultancy firm in partnership with a research provider."Romania stands out as one of the most dynamic insurance […]
The minimum turnover tax is a barrier to investment, and in a period when the private sector is undergoing restructuring and layoffs, it adds additional pressure on companies, according to a letter signed by 14 investor organizations that once again request the elimination of the minimum tax."In view of the discussions on the construction […]
