Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. CFA Romania: Budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP...

CFA Romania: Budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021, public debt - 54.1% of GDP in 12 months

January 19, 2022

CFA Romania analysts anticipate a budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021 and an inflation rate of 5.8% for the 12-month horizon, according to a press release from the organization.Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2021 is 7.3%. The average value of expectations in real terms of GDP in 2021 is +6.6%, and for 2022 it stands at 3.9%. The public debt (percentage of GDP) will reach, in a 12-month horizon, about 54.1%.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon averaged 5.8%. As to the euro / leu exchange rate, over 91% of the survey participants predict a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value). Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0517 lei, while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the forecast exchange rate is 5.1145 lei for one euro. Also, the lowest estimated euro / leu exchange rate for a 12-month horizon is 4.9600.The CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 56.6 points (compared to the same month of the previous year, the indicator increased by 12.1 points). This situation was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator."In the context of the substantial rise in the inflation rate, inflationary expectations for the 12-month horizon continued to go up. In line with this trend, anticipations of higher interest rates on the monetary market rose, these indicating monetary policy interest at least three times higher in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Association.Also, the majority of survey participants, 75%, anticipate that the economic impact of coronavirus will last at least until the fourth quarter of 2022. 

Read in full - click here
Romanian airline AnimaWings introduces all-inclusive service packages

AnimaWings, the Romanian airline founded in 2020, has introduced new all-inclusive service packages on both international and domestic flights, marking what the company describes as a first in its onboard offering. The packages, named Priority All Inclusive and Priority All Inclusive Plus, combine baggage, meals, drinks, premium seating, and airport priority services into a single […]

M Core expands in Romania with new retail park in Orăștie

Property developer M Core has opened M Park Orăștie, a new retail park developed on a 23,000 sqm plot in an established commercial area of the Romanian city. The project delivers around 5,500 square meters of single-level retail space, designed to accommodate a mix of fashion, homeware, electronics, and everyday essentials retailers. The company said […]

Romania readies to power Black Sea AI Gigafactory project with new nuclear reactors

More than 80% of the electricity production capacity of the new nuclear reactors in the works in Romania could power a Black Sea AI Gigafactory project, according to a plan laid out by the government.  Romania has already secured financing and partners to develop units 3 and 4 at the Cernavodă nuclear power plant, with […]

Institute for study of communist crimes urges Romanian authorities to act against rising pro-totalitarian nostalgia

The Institute for the Investigation of the Crimes of Communism and the Memory of Romanian Exile (IICCMER) has issued a public appeal to president Nicuşor Dan and prime minister Ilie Bolojan to demonstrate “firmness in decision-making” in order to counter what it describes as an “increasingly insidious phenomenon of pro-totalitarian nostalgia,”

Real estate developer AFI secures EUR 537 mln refinancing package for Romanian projects

AFI Romania, part of the leading real estate development, management, and investment company operating across Central and Eastern Europe, AFI Group, announced that it secured a EUR 537 million refinancing package for three major projects in its portfolio: AFI Cotroceni, AFI Brașov, and AFI Ploiești. The three projects included in the refinancing are among the […]

Hidroelectrica faces scrutiny over alleged preferential electricity supply to politically linked firms

State-controlled Hidroelectrica (BVB: H2O) allegedly supplied electricity for years to politically connected companies and religious institutions without issuing invoices or collecting payments, according to public data analysed by investigative platform Recorder. The supplies...