Romania's economy will grow by 3.5% this year and by 4.5% on average in the coming two years, while the twin deficits would shrink considerably over the coming three years, according to the latest macroeconomic projection from the country's largest financial group Banca Transilvania (BVB: TLV). The bank thus revised downward its forecast for this year's economic growth from 5.1% envisaged under the latest scenario published on January 17. Therefore, Banca Transilvania remains on the optimistic side, as long as other banks (such as BCR ErsteBanca Transilvania anticipates an exchange rate of 5 lei / euro in 2022, and the average inflation will be 6.9% Group Bank) expect growth rates rather close to 2% this year. Romania's largest financial group grounds its expectations on "an evolution supported by the continuation of the investment cycle, with an impact for the other components of the GDP," according to Banca Transilvania's research note, quoted by Ziarul Financiar. "We have updated the forecasts for the dynamics of the Romanian economy in the short and medium-term by incorporating the latest global, European and domestic macro-financial developments, including the INS provisional estimates on performance in Q4 last year and the pandemic year 2021. According to the new forecasts, Romania's economy could grow with annual dynamics of 3.5% in 2022, 4.4% in 2023 and 4.7% in 2024." The scenario also includes a significant reduction of the current account (CA) gap from 7.1% of GDP in 2021 to 5.5% of GDP this year and under 5% of GDP in 2023 to no more than 3.3% of GDP in 2024. The gap rose to 7.4% of GDP in the 12 months to January 2022. BTRL remains optimistic in regard to the fiscal consolidation as well, envisaging a public deficit of 5.0% of GDP this year, 3% of GDP in 2023 and 2.5% of GDP (under ESA) of 2.5% of GDP in 2024.
Romanian president Nicușor Dan made a private visit to the Republic of Moldova this past weekend, where he joined Moldovan leader Maia Sandu at the Wolves Festival/Festivalul Lupilor in the Orheiul Vechi Nature Reserve. Photos posted on social media showed the two heads of state mingling with participants in a relaxed, informal setting. This was […]
Warm and stormy. That would describe this summer so far. Here are some of my faves for the capricious season, films set in summer and/or with a summery air: dusty, sweaty, erotic, romantic, chaotic, melancholic, dangerous. All of it. My most recent (unexpected) highlight is Sergio Leone’s Dollars trilogy. The master of the spaghetti western, […]
Associates of the fugitive Moldovan oligarch Ilan Șor were urged to vote for far-right candidate George Simion in the presidential elections in Romania back in May, according to the General Inspectorate of Police of the Republic of Moldova. Moldovan police made public several messages discovered on the phones of those close to Ilan Șor as […]
The month of July was nearly 2 degrees Celsius warmer than normal in Romania, with temperatures exceeding 43 degrees Celsius in the southern Oltenia region and over 40 degrees Celsius in Transylvania. Eleven new heat records were set, and there were also intense rains as well as severe hailstorms, according to the climatological summary published by […]
Romania ranks last in the European Union in terms of circular material usage, with a rate of just 1.3%, according to 2023 public data analyzed by Clean Recycle experts. Comparatively, countries such as the Netherlands (30.6%), Italy (over 20%), and Malta lead the EU rankings. A circular economy is a model of production and consumption […]
A new edition of Art Safari will take place from September 5 to December 14 in Bucharest, featuring a diverse program of art exhibitions. Highlights include "Paris Pallady," showcasing over 70 works by Romanian artist Theodor Pallady alongside pieces by Henri Matisse, in collaboration with Paris museums Musée de l'Orangerie and Musée Henri Matisse, the […]
