Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. Prognosis Commission significantly revises downwards, to 2.9 pct,...

Prognosis Commission significantly revises downwards, to 2.9 pct, growth estimate of Romanian economy in 2022

May 26, 2022

The National Strategy and Prognosis Commission (CNSP) revised downwards to 2.9% the growth estimate of the Romanian economy for this year, from 4.3% as previously forecast.In the spring version of the Medium-Term Forecast, CNSP shows that the overlap of shocks (the geopolitical context, successive increases in energy prices and altered global supply chains) exacerbates risks and uncertainties on the economy, while affecting short-term business expectations. .The estimates published by CNSP are in line with the forecasts of the international financial institutions, which have significantly decreased the growth targets of the Romanian economy this year. Thus, the IMF was recently estimating an advance of 2.2% for 2022, from 4.8% in the autumn, while the World Bank indicated an even more modest increase for Romania's GDP of 1.9%.For the current account deficit, CSNP foresees the maintenance of the indicator at high values in the current year (-6.9% of GDP), against the background of a growing trade deficit, amplified by the price increases. Positive corrections are expected in the medium term.The estimated level of price increase is slightly higher than the previous forecasts, respectively 9.7% compared to 9.5% for the end of the year, and 10.1% compared to 9.9% as an annual average."Recent government support measures for the vulnerable population, as well as measures to increase the minimum wage in agriculture and the food industry, will keep the dynamics of purchasing power at positive values (about + 0.7%), given a high average annual inflation (+ 10.1%)," the cited source states.For 2022, the average gross earnings are estimated to increase by 9.7%, to a level of 6,120 RON, and the number of employees will record an advance of 1.6%. The BIM unemployment rate will continue to fall this year to 5.4%.The draft budget for 2022 was set at an economic growth of 4.6%.

Read in full - click here
VP of Romanian far-right party AUR praises Ceaușescu, prompting legal warnings

Marius Lulea, vice president of the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), publicly praised former Communist dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu, drawing condemnation from historians and legal experts for promoting a convicted criminal against humanity,

European Socialists call on Romania's PSD to support pro-EU presidential candidate Nicușor Dan

The Party of European Socialists (PES) and the Socialists and Democrats group in the European Parliament (S&D) stated on May 12 their firm position...

Romanian tissue paper producer Elfi invests EUR 10 mln to double production capacity

Romanian tissue and sanitary paper products producer Elfi announced investments of EUR 10 million in 2025 to expand production capacity. The project involves the construction of a new production hall and the installation of a state-of-the-art production line, which will allow the company to operate three production lines and double its current capacity. In 2024, […]

Romania's 5 to go coffee shop chain targets Southeastern European market

With the investment fund Accession Capital Partners and the private equity fund Invenio Partners as majority shareholders since the end of 2024, the Romanian coffee chop chain 5 to go targets the Southeastern European market, according to Profit.ro and

Romania’s Prime Batteries enters global alliance to develop new-generation power storage solutions

Romanian lithium-ion battery manufacturer Prime Batteries Technology, founded and controlled by Romanian entrepreneur Adrian Polec, has entered into a collaboration with Arrow Electronics and NXP Semiconductors to launch a next-generation battery energy storage system - BESS platform, according to

Romania’s inflation steady in April, expected rate rises with weaker currency outlook

Romania’s headline inflation remained steady at just under 4.9% y/y in April, in line with consensus expectations, as the average prices increased by a mere 0.07% in the month, according to the data published by the statistics office INS on May 13. Core inflation remained at 5.3% y/y as well. The National Bank of Romania […]