Slovakia, Hungary and Czech Republic are most exposed among Central and Eastern European (CEE) sovereigns to a sudden cessation of Russian gas supplies to EU countries, Fitch Ratings says. Poland, Lithuania and Romania appear least exposed.A sudden cessation is not Fitch’s base case, but is a risk. Bulgaria and Poland have already been cut off and supplies to other EU members have been reduced. Supply and infrastructure constraints mean it could take the EU more than three years to offset a full loss of Russian gas supply.Fitch has constructed a vulnerability matrix showing EU countries’ reliance on Russian gas imports. We have also considered EU and national policy responses, holding discussions with national authorities, usually energy ministries of all CEE EU members. These responses would probably involve supply- and demand-side management and centralised price-setting. We also look at mitigating factors for the 11 Fitch-rated CEE sovereigns.The region would face a significant macro shock, including in many cases negative growth and higher inflation: energy generally has a higher weight in the harmonised consumer price basket in CEE than in Western European countries). But differences in mitigating factors mean the impact would vary widely. Slovakia, Hungary and Czech Republic combine high reliance on Russian gas with a lack of viable short-term alternative energy supplies. In contrast, Poland, Lithuania and Romania have largely secured alternative supplies or have significant domestic production. Assessing mitigants and understanding policy responses is key to understanding the potential rating implications of cessation: important offsetting factors are not always visible in the vulnerability matrix.The impact on public finances from the macro shock and potential offsetting measures could pressure sovereign ratings, particularly where credit metrics are already weak relative to rating peers. The Negative Outlook on the Czech Republic’s ‘AA-’ rating since May partly reflects risks from its dependence on Russian energy.
Romania’s Superior Council of Magistracy (CSM) issued its first response to the Recorder documentary alleging systemic manipulation within the justice system, calling the investigation an amplification of a “campaign to destabilize judicial authority.” The council said on Thursday, December 11, that it will evaluate what measures need to be taken following the report. In a […]
MedLife, Romania’s largest private medical services network, announced on Wednesday, December 10, that it reached a market capitalization of EUR 1 billion on the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB). The milestone secures its position as “the most valuable healthcare company” in the country. The achievement came nine years after MedLife’s listing on BVB in December 2016, […]
The Buzău Land UNESCO Global Geopark in Romania has become a “living laboratory” this week as a team of American researchers arrived to study microorganisms capable of surviving in extreme environments. The scientists, part of the interdisciplinary research organisation The Two Frontiers Project, are examining methane seeps, sulfur and petroleum springs, saline sources, and other […]
A moose has been unexpectedly spotted in the Hunedoara county area, specialists from the conservation group Rewilding Romania announced on Wednesday, December 10, sharing footage of the animal on social media. The sighting is considered “an important discovery for Romania’s wildlife,” though experts caution that it remains unclear how the animal reached this region. According […]
Trade unionists will continue to require the Presidential Administration to mediate the conflict with the government on issues such as the minimum wage or the collective labour agreement, said Bogdan Hossu, president of the Cartel Alfa trade union confederation, as reported by
Prime minister Ilie Bolojan said on Wednesday, December 10, that Romania’s state budget for 2026 will be adopted only at the end of January, citing the need for Parliament to first approve legislation required to ensure predictability and compliance with the country’s deficit targets. His comments came as the government has been working to align […]
