Romania's economy will grow by 4% this year, and the growth will slow down to 3.5% in 2023 as the central bank will have to rise the refinancing rate to 7% by the end of this year (versus the 8%-9% ideal rate of the refinancing rate), according to a research report published by OTP Bank Romania. The fiscal consolidation has stalled and will resume maybe next year, while the current account (CA) deficit may exceed expectations this year amid high energy prices and slower fiscal consolidation, the report reads, concluding that the twin deficit issue remains relevant. "In a regional context, the comparison suggests a more optimistic average growth performance for Romania. Although, for next year, the prediction is pessimistic, with a lower expected result. At the moment, all areas are affected, given inflation - trade, real income, interest rates or fiscal consolidation, which has stalled at this time. [...] The positive outlook is also complemented by the fact that Romania is expected to receive European funds of about 3.5% of GDP annually in this forecast horizon," OTP Bank analysts argue, quoted by Bankingnews.ro. "Under the baseline scenario, inflation could peak in June at a level slightly below 15%, but in the period to come, the decline will be slow, and we should be prepared not to see single-digit rates until March next year. Energy and food growth are now passing through to core inflation [...]. In addition, we can anticipate another increase in the price of energy for household use in April next year, when the current cap-and-subsidy scheme expires," the report reads. OTP Bank expects the National Bank of Romania to conduct more hawkish policy towards the end of the year, yet along the line of moderation followed so far. "The current level of the key policy rate, of 3.75%, still lags very much behind the evolutions of the inflation and the risk premium for the Romanian assets and it is very likely to see it increasing to 7.0% by the end of the year, while the market suggests a level of 8-9%," according to bank analysts' expectations.
INVOLI, together with Vantage Towers Romania, proudly announces an enhanced strategic partnership aimed at transforming air traffic surveillance throughout Romania regional airports. This initiative marks a significant step in our joint commitment to advancing safety and operational efficiency across all levels of Romanian airspace. Partnership Overview Extended Collaboration: Building on the successful implementation of the […]
Emanuele Nicola Affaticati, a young boy of Romanian origin, will be given the recognition of "Alfiere della Repubblica" (Standard Bearer of the Republic) in Italy for preventing a murder. Emanuele lives in the town of Fiorenzuola D’Arda, in the Piacenza area. In December 2022, he foiled the plan of a man who intended to kill […]
The salaries in the local business services industry have seen a 4% increase in March 2024 compared to September 2023, according to the HR Barometer conducted by the Business Service Leaders Association (ABSL) and PwC Romania. Bucharest leads in salary increase levels at 4.7%, while the region of Banat - Transylvania witnessed an increase of only 2.1%. […]
Romania's Central Electoral Bureau recently published the definitive list of candidacies for the European Parliament elections. According to the BEC decision, 12 political formations and electoral alliances, as well as 4 independents, will participate in the European elections. The candidacies submitted by the Electoral Alliance of Social Democrats and Liberals (PSD-PNL), the United Right Alliance […]
Liberal (PNL) candidate for mayor of Bucharest, Sebastian Burduja, who recently presented his plan for the city, argued that the Romanian capital should strive to become a port on the Danube. The project was first envisioned roughly 170 years ago, in the 1850s, by the Romanian authorities at the time. "It's a project that I […]
Romania will host the third hydrogen bus roadshow this spring as part of the JIVE projects supported and funded by the Clean Hydrogen Partnership, followed by Greece, Bosnia Herzegovina, and Bulgaria. During the first JIVE project CEE roadshow, which ran between November 2022 and January 2023, the bus traveled across Slovenia, Croatia, Czechia, Slovakia, and […]
