Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. Analyst: RON 5.1 to EUR is the threshold...

Analyst: RON 5.1 to EUR is the threshold around which the fight is now taking

May 29, 2025

Romania's financial market is waiting to see where a new level can be found, and the threshold around which the fight is now being fought is RON 5.1 to the euro (EUR), according to XTB Romania strategy consultant Claudiu Cazacu."We have a much more volatile dynamic than the one we have become accustomed to on the exchange rate, once the threshold of RON 5 was broken. Uncertainty, emotion play an important role at the moment in the market, they played an especially important one yesterday. And now, traders are looking for a new equilibrium benchmark. Because, while so far we were used to levels slightly below RON 5 lei to the EUR, now, at over RON 5, we are trying to find the new benchmark. I think the market is partially waiting, although it seems hard to believe, it is waiting to see where a new level can be found. From my point of view, the volumes are much higher than usual in our estimate. The threshold around which the fight is now being fought is RON5.1. From my perspective, as a matter of opinion, I think the markets are eager to test levels above RON5.1, but I don't know if the central bank is also open to allowing too fast a move. So, I would say that we are following this level of 5.1 for today's session and in the short term. Of course, theoretically, anything can happen, but in practice I don't think that there is a market from which the central bank is absent, and it is not a market that is completely gripped by speculative fever. From a macro point of view, we needed a slightly weaker exchange rate for the leu and this was the moment when it was triggered," Cazacu said on Wednesday.Romania's national currency the leu (RON) depreciated on Tuesday against the euro (EUR), which was calculated by the National Bank of Romania (BNR) at RON 5.0378, up 6.03 bani (1.21%) from a previous quotation of RON 4.9775, an all-time high.Spokesman for the National Bank of Romania Dan Suciu said on Tuesday that the National Bank of Romania raised liquidity from the market after capital inflows decreased and outflows increased significantly, which led to an increase in interest rates.The three-month ROBOR (Romanian Interbank Offer Rate) index, based on which the cost of RON-denominated consumer loans with variable interest rates is calculated, rose on Wednesday to 6.47% per annum, from 6.08% per annum in the previous session, according to data published by BNR.  

Read in full - click here
EC approves EUR 1.27 bln Resilience Facility payment to Romania, withholds EUR 870 mln

The European Commission has approved a payment of EUR 1.27 billion to Romania as part of the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) funding worth some EUR 28 billion in total. The rest of the scheduled payment, totaling EUR 870 million, was suspended. Romania’s European funds minister, Marcel Boloș, announced that three objectives included in […]

Three Romanian startups declared winners of CleanTech Hackathon 2025

The tech startups YellowGrid, WiseWatts and Procesio won CleanTech Corporate Hackathon 2025, the first event dedicated to innovators, startups and scaleups creating AI-based technologies and solutions for sustainable energy in South East Europe. YellowGrid, the team that won first place and the EUR 5,000 prize, is composed of Cătălin Stăncel, Sergiu Mureșan, Andrei Antohie and […]

Romanians’ trust in the EU above European average, Eurobarometer survey shows

Romanians' trust in the EU is well above the European average, but they occasionally show different priorities compared to those of most Europeans, according to the most recent Eurobarometer survey. The measurement, conducted in the winter and spring of 2025, shows an overall increase in European citizens’ trust in the EU, especially in the areas […]

Romania drops four positions in global ranking of startup ecosystems

Romania has dropped four positions in the global Startup Ecosystem 2025 report by StartupBlink. It is now ranked 48th worldwide, and has lost ground in Eastern Europe, where it dropped from 8th to 9th place, after Ukraine advanced one position and Greece two positions, surpassing Romania globally.  However, Romania is now 16th in the global AI top […]

Oradea City Hall inaugurates Romania's first geothermal station

The Nufărul geothermal station in Oradea, developed through a European project worth EUR 25 million, was officially inaugurated on Thursday, May 29. The station is the first of its kind in Romania, and builders had to drill approximately 2,800 meters for water.  “All extracted water comes to the geothermal station on Iancu de Hunedoara Street, […]

CTP expands partnership with HelpShip to 20,000 sqm at Oradea Cargo Terminal

CTP, a leading developer, owner, and operator of industrial and logistics properties, has extended its collaboration with HelpShip, a major e-fulfillment and logistics provider within the euShipments.com group, increasing HelpShip’s leased space to 20,000 sqm at CTPark Oradea Cargo Terminal. The expanded facility will serve as the company’s main fulfilment center. With HelpShip’s growth from […]