Analysts surveyed by Economica.net reveal expectations for an interest rate hike at the monetary board of the National Bank of Romania (BNR), possibly of 50 bp to 2.25%, perhaps accompanied by further widening of the interest rate corridor that would push up further the Lombard interest rate. "We expect the National Bank of Romania to increase the key interest rate from 1.75% to 2.25%. We also anticipate the widening of the corridor formed by the interest rates of permanent facilities around the monetary policy interest rate to +/- 1.00 pp, from +/- 0.75 pp now," said Valentin Tataru, chief economist of ING Bank. Adrian Codarlasu, vice president of CFA Romania Association, believes that Poland hiking the rate by 50 bp this week to 2.25% sets grounds for an increase in Romania's monetary policy interest rate by 0.5% as well, compared to the initial expectations for 0.25 bp hike expressed by the Association. He also warned that the headline inflation might hit 10% YoY in May-June, judging from the factory-gate inflation of 32% (in November) recently announced. Ionut Dumitru, Raiffeisen Bank's chief economist, points out that Raiffeisen Bank's forecast envisages a policy interest rate of up to 2.5% by mid-2022 and 3% by the end of 2022. "We expect the BNR to catch up with colleagues in Central and Eastern Europe and offer a key rate hike of 50 bp to 2.25% at the next January 10 interest rate meeting. The excess liquidity after high public spending at the end of the year should support such a decision. The BNR should remain a net debtor to the banking system for the next two months," he explained.
In European offices, there is a steadily growing interest in spaces that are not only beneficial to productive work but also reflect a modern approach to ergonomics and aesthetics. Romania is also part of this trend, with more and more companies investing in modern offices that combine functionality with exceptional design. In this article, we'll […]
By Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Permanent Representative to the Council of Europe, Dr. Ion I. Jinga Strasbourg, January 2025 Motto: “Precedents in history can furnish no other light than that of beacons, which give warning on the course to be shunned, without pointing out that which ought to be pursued.” Alexander Hamilton, Founding […]
A technical evaluation mission of the Secretariat of the Corporate Governance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) took place on January 20-23 at the General Secretariat of the Government (SGG).According to SGG, the major objective of the mission was to analyse and evaluate the implementation by Romania, as a candidate state, […]
The state budget deficit forecast for 2025 has increased to the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP and economic growth expectations are at the average value of 1.3%, according to the estimates of analysts from the CFA Romania Association.Public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 57% in […]
New orders in the manufacturing industry increased by 2.7%, in nominal terms, overall (domestic and foreign markets), between January 1 and November 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, according to data published on Thursday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).In the same period, the evolution of new orders in the manufacturing […]
The Élysée Treaty is the foundation of the close Franco-German friendship and the symbol of reconciliation between Germany and France after World War II, said the German ambassador in Bucharest, Peer Gebauer.The message is sent by the German diplomatic mission in the context in which Germany and France celebrate 62 years since the signing of […]
