Romania's economy will grow by 3.5% this year and by 4.5% on average in the coming two years, while the twin deficits would shrink considerably over the coming three years, according to the latest macroeconomic projection from the country's largest financial group Banca Transilvania (BVB: TLV). The bank thus revised downward its forecast for this year's economic growth from 5.1% envisaged under the latest scenario published on January 17. Therefore, Banca Transilvania remains on the optimistic side, as long as other banks (such as BCR ErsteBanca Transilvania anticipates an exchange rate of 5 lei / euro in 2022, and the average inflation will be 6.9% Group Bank) expect growth rates rather close to 2% this year. Romania's largest financial group grounds its expectations on "an evolution supported by the continuation of the investment cycle, with an impact for the other components of the GDP," according to Banca Transilvania's research note, quoted by Ziarul Financiar. "We have updated the forecasts for the dynamics of the Romanian economy in the short and medium-term by incorporating the latest global, European and domestic macro-financial developments, including the INS provisional estimates on performance in Q4 last year and the pandemic year 2021. According to the new forecasts, Romania's economy could grow with annual dynamics of 3.5% in 2022, 4.4% in 2023 and 4.7% in 2024." The scenario also includes a significant reduction of the current account (CA) gap from 7.1% of GDP in 2021 to 5.5% of GDP this year and under 5% of GDP in 2023 to no more than 3.3% of GDP in 2024. The gap rose to 7.4% of GDP in the 12 months to January 2022. BTRL remains optimistic in regard to the fiscal consolidation as well, envisaging a public deficit of 5.0% of GDP this year, 3% of GDP in 2023 and 2.5% of GDP (under ESA) of 2.5% of GDP in 2024.
In European offices, there is a steadily growing interest in spaces that are not only beneficial to productive work but also reflect a modern approach to ergonomics and aesthetics. Romania is also part of this trend, with more and more companies investing in modern offices that combine functionality with exceptional design. In this article, we'll […]
By Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Permanent Representative to the Council of Europe, Dr. Ion I. Jinga Strasbourg, January 2025 Motto: “Precedents in history can furnish no other light than that of beacons, which give warning on the course to be shunned, without pointing out that which ought to be pursued.” Alexander Hamilton, Founding […]
A technical evaluation mission of the Secretariat of the Corporate Governance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) took place on January 20-23 at the General Secretariat of the Government (SGG).According to SGG, the major objective of the mission was to analyse and evaluate the implementation by Romania, as a candidate state, […]
The state budget deficit forecast for 2025 has increased to the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP and economic growth expectations are at the average value of 1.3%, according to the estimates of analysts from the CFA Romania Association.Public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 57% in […]
New orders in the manufacturing industry increased by 2.7%, in nominal terms, overall (domestic and foreign markets), between January 1 and November 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, according to data published on Thursday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).In the same period, the evolution of new orders in the manufacturing […]
The Élysée Treaty is the foundation of the close Franco-German friendship and the symbol of reconciliation between Germany and France after World War II, said the German ambassador in Bucharest, Peer Gebauer.The message is sent by the German diplomatic mission in the context in which Germany and France celebrate 62 years since the signing of […]
