Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. Banca Transilvania anticipates an exchange rate of 5...

Banca Transilvania anticipates an exchange rate of 5 lei / euro in 2022 and the average inflation will be 6.9%

April 19, 2022

Romania's economy will grow by 3.5% this year and by 4.5% on average in the coming two years, while the twin deficits would shrink considerably over the coming three years, according to the latest macroeconomic projection from the country's largest financial group Banca Transilvania (BVB: TLV).   The bank thus revised downward its forecast for this year's economic growth from 5.1% envisaged under the latest scenario published on January 17. Therefore, Banca Transilvania remains on the optimistic side, as long as other banks (such as BCR ErsteBanca Transilvania anticipates an exchange rate of 5 lei / euro in 2022, and the average inflation will be 6.9% Group Bank) expect growth rates rather close to 2% this year.   Romania's largest financial group grounds its expectations on "an evolution supported by the continuation of the investment cycle, with an impact for the other components of the GDP," according to Banca Transilvania's research note, quoted by Ziarul Financiar.   "We have updated the forecasts for the dynamics of the Romanian economy in the short and medium-term by incorporating the latest global, European and domestic macro-financial developments, including the INS provisional estimates on performance in Q4 last year and the pandemic year 2021. According to the new forecasts, Romania's economy could grow with annual dynamics of 3.5% in 2022, 4.4% in 2023 and 4.7% in 2024."   The scenario also includes a significant reduction of the current account (CA) gap from 7.1% of GDP in 2021 to 5.5% of GDP this year and under 5% of GDP in 2023 to no more than 3.3% of GDP in 2024. The gap rose to 7.4% of GDP in the 12 months to January 2022.   BTRL remains optimistic in regard to the fiscal consolidation as well, envisaging a public deficit of 5.0% of GDP this year, 3% of GDP in 2023 and 2.5% of GDP (under ESA) of 2.5% of GDP in 2024.    

Read in full - click here
Voxxed Days Bucharest 2025: “To stay competitive, Romania’s IT sector must sell innovation, not just billable hours”

Voxxed Days Bucharest 2025, an event dedicated to IT professionals and software developers, will take place on March 26-27, 2025, at Crowne Plaza Hotel Bucharest. This year, the conference reaches the next level by emphasizing the development of intrapreneurial skills among software developers - an essential step in shifting from an outsourcing-based...

Exim Banca Romaneasca facilitates the updating of personal data through internet/mobile banking

Exim Banca Romaneasca continues to expand its portfolio of digital services and now offers individual customers the possibility to update their personal data entirely electronically via internet/mobile banking. This convenient and accessible method allows for periodic data updates anytime and from anywhere, without the need to visit a branch. To update their data via internet/mobile […]

A rising star in Romanian professional esports: Iulia “Yushia” Boldor on taking on League of Legends tournaments

Iulia Boldor, better known as Yushia, is a women’s trailblazer in the traditionally male esports world. The rising industry has found room for female representation in recent years, and the 22-year-old Romanian is at the forefront of its most popular gaming competitions, the League of Legends professional tournaments, as part of the French esports organization […]

Premiere: Lin Holmquist, one of Europe’s most acclaimed experts in Tantra, Yoga, and personal development, comes to Bucharest this June

The renowned therapist will be in Romania for the first time as part of DiFine Your Essence, a series of events combining personal, professional, and spiritual development Lin Holmquist, one of Europe’s most respected Tantra and personal transformation facilitators, will be in Romania for the first time from June 27-29 as part of EnlightX, the […]

Holcim invests over EUR 450,000 in water recycling system at Stăncești aggregate plant in Romania

Holcim Romania has invested over EUR 700,000 in its Stăncești aggregate plant in Prahova county, with more than EUR 450,000 dedicated to a state-of-the-art water recycling and purification system. This investment significantly reduces the plant’s water consumption by approximately 80%, the company said. “This investment is a clear demonstration of our commitment to improving operations […]

Leaders of Romanian far-right parties AUR and POT announce presidential bids, one to withdraw after validation

Romanian far-right leaders George Simion (AUR) and Anamaria Gavrilă (POT) have announced their candidacies for Romania’s 2025 presidential election following the invalidation of Călin Georgescu’s bid. The two politicians stated that only one of them would remain in the race after their candidacies are officially validated. Simion, the leader...