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BNR : The highest economic risk for Romania is a political one

February 11, 2026

The main economic risk of Romania is a political one, not a fiscal or macroeconomic one and governmental stability is essential for keeping the reduction of the budgetary deficit, says the spokesperson of the Romanian National Bank (BNR) , Dan Suciu.   "The greatest economic risk is political. Government stability, regardless of the formula or the people involved, is the main risk. Instability could cause these measures to reduce the budget deficit to no longer be in force, to be changed, or to not be implemented at the level they should be. As a result, everything that has been achieved in six months could be lost. And we still have years to work in this direction," said Dan Suciu in an interview with Antena 3.   The BNR official said that the fiscal measures adopted by the government are enough and, from the point of view of the central bank, there is no need for supplementary taxes   "From the perspective of the analyses carried out by our specialists, the fiscal measures are, let's say, sufficient. We saw a significant decrease in the budget deficit last year, with measures taken in the middle of the year. The measures that are beginning to take effect at the beginning of the year will have a stronger impact on the budget deficit this year, so we expect the deficit to evolve in the direction we all expect, with a significant decrease and no need for additional taxes. (...) The concern is that these measures will continue to exist, that there will be stability and political consensus," says Suciu.   As regards inflation, this would drop towards 4% until the end of the year, and the key interest could be reduced, possibly at least 025 percentage points.   There is the risk of technical recession, but not proper recession, says Suciu. The economic growth is estimated approximately 1% in 2025, with better perspective for 2026, even if there might be two running quarters with negative evolution.   The NBR also believes that there is room for layoffs in the public sector, but warns that such decisions require political consensus, as "government stability is essential at this time."

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
http://actmedia.eu/daily/bnr-the-highest-economic-risk-for-romania-is-a-political-one/117921
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