Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. BNR upwardly revises its year-end inflation forecast to...

BNR upwardly revises its year-end inflation forecast to 4.9%

December 10, 2024

The National Bank of Romania (BNR) has upwardly revised its inflation forecast for the end of 2024 to 4.9% from previously 4%, and expects it to reach 3.5% at the end of 2025, shows data presented on Monday by BNR governor Mugur Isarescu.According to the presentation, oscillations in the CPI inflation rate are generated by the basic effects associated with past developments: the removal from the calculation of the annual inflation rate of the January 2024 indirect tax increases, as well as of the Q2 gas and unprocessed food price cuts etc.Re-entry into the inflation target range is expected to happen in the first part of 2026. The upward revision from the numbers projected in the previous Inflation Report, notably in the first part of the projection range, yet with a persistent effect in the medium-term too, is mainly linked to the worse than anticipated recent developments in the food segment."What we know for sure is that a fiscal-budgetary correction is in store, which will also result in an external adjustment. Both twin deficits are around 8%, so it is difficult to say that the non-governmental sector would contribute too much or significantly to the external deficit. The public deficit is roughly equal to the external deficit. The corrections that will be made to the public deficit will of course reflect in the external deficit too. We do not have hard data regarding the manner in which these corrections will be done, and consequently this forecast is based only on what we know at present. It does not include the fiscal-budgetary correction measures that will be implemented next year, and depending on them the inflation rate may be higher or lower," the BNR governor explained.

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
http://actmedia.eu/daily/bnr-upwardly-revises-its-year-end-inflation-forecast-to-4.9/111240
Read in full - click here
Return & Recycle Insights – 2 Years of DRS in Romania

  The ECOTECA Association, in partnership with the Ministry of Environment, Waters and Forests, is organizing the conference “Return & Recycle Insights – 2 Years of DRS in Romania”, which will take place on 26 November 2025, between 09:00 – 13:00, at the Bucharest University of Economic Studies (ASE). The event will bring together representatives […]

Veranda Mall celebrates 9 years of growth and community with a vibrant winter season: new shopping options and a packed events program to bring the locals together

Nine years after opening its doors, Veranda Mall enters its most exciting chapter yet. What began as a project to breathe new life into the Obor neighborhood has evolved into one of Bucharest’s most beloved destinations for shopping, leisure, and connection. As it marks this anniversary, Veranda unveils a winter events lineup rich in culture, […]

BVB-listed winemaker Purcari reports higher revenues but lower net profit in first 9 months of 2025

Purcari Wineries (BVB: WINE), CEE’s leading wine producer, announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2025 on Friday, November 14. The company saw a decline of 1.46% in pretax EBITDA earnings from the similar period last year. Specifically, earnings decreased to RON 84.66 million from RON 85.92 million last year. Meanwhile, group […]

Darian Celebrates 35 Years of Consultancy – A “Co-Pilot” Experience Supporting Business Leaders in Making Informed Decisions, and Launches the Darian Tax Navigator Service

With a solid 35-year uninterrupted presence on the Romanian market, Darian—one of the longest-standing consultancy groups with fully Romanian capital—reaffirms its role as a strategic partner for the business environment. Darian marks this anniversary not through grand promises, but by strengthening its core working philosophy: acting as a “co-pilot” for complex decision-making. The company emphasizes […]

Romanian National Bank revises end-2025 inflation forecast upwards to 9.6%

The National Bank of Romania (BNR) revised its inflation forecast upward, from 8.8% to 9.6%, for the end of 2025. The institution anticipates that inflation will reach 3.7% at the end of 2026, compared to 3% in the previous forecast, according to data presented on Friday, November 14, by governor Mugur Isărescu. Compared to the […]

Romanian energy system operator Transelectrica reports 56% decrease in profit in January-September

The state-owned company Transelectrica (BVB: TEL), the operator of the Romanian national energy system, recorded a net profit of RON 183 million in the first nine months of the year, down 56% compared to the same period last year. Operating revenues fell by 2%, to RON 1.716 billion, mainly due to the decrease in revenues […]