CFA Romania analysts have lowered their estimate for this year's economic growth to 3 percent, down half a percentage point from their previous forecasts, while their inflationary expectations have continued to rise amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, shows a statement issued on Tuesday by Romania's chartered financial analysts association.The average inflation rate for 2022 is seen at 8.03 percent, a record high ever since the CFA Romania survey began, while the budget deficit is expected to reach 6.7 percent.As regards the euro to RON exchange rate, the participants unanimously anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months, the average projection over a 6-month horizon standing at 5.0402 RON for one euro, and that over a 12-month horizon being 5.082 RON for one euro."Against the background of the risk aversion triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator continued to decline in March. A consequence of this increased risk aversion is the reduction of economic growth expectations, which have been cut by yet another half a percentage point from the previous issue [in March 2022]. At the same time, inflationary projections have continued to rise. As regards the evolution of interest rates, the survey participants expect the National Bank to hike the key interest rate to at least 4.25 percent in the next 12 months," said vice-president of the CFA Romania Association Adrian Codirlasu.The share of respondents who believe that residential real estate prices in major cities will rise in the next 12 months dropped to 13.6 percent, the lowest level since November 2020, while 40.9 percent of the respondents see them going down, the highest share since November 2020.CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 40.9 points due to the evolution of its projection component.CFA Romania is the association of Romanian investment professionals who hold the certification of Chartered Financial Analyst (CFAŽ), a credential granted by the US-based CFA Institute. The association currently has over 250 members.
The countdown is on until the start of the largest local fest, Transilvania International Film Festival on 13 June. Or, as everyone calls it: TIFF. To pass the time and (or) have an alternative, do not miss some of the most entertaining stories of all time courtesy of suspense master Alfred Hitchcock. And check out […]
Roughly 45.7% of Romanians believe the country’s May presidential elections were rather unfairly organized, while 50.4% believe they were fair, according to a survey by INSCOP Research. Romania's previous presidential elections, which saw centrist Bucharest mayor Nicusor Dan emerge victorious, saw extreme polarization. Immediately after...
CARFIL Brasov, central Romania, is set to begin production of three types of Romanian military UAVs this year, news agency Agerpres reported. The drones, named Cuda, Sirin, and a marine drone, were unveiled at the Southeast Europe Special Operations Forces Forum 2025 (SEESOF) in Targu Mures, the first international expo-forum dedicated to the special operations forces. ...
The National Meteorological Administration of Romania, or ANM, aims to become a European regional hub for professional training in the field of climate change, according to director general Elena Mateescu. The official noted during “The Future of Agriculture” forum held on Thursday, June 5, that the ANM has already completed the European Agrometeorology Center, which […]
Romania’s Interior Ministry (MAI) and Defense Ministry (MApN) have warned of ongoing disinformation campaigns on social media aimed at manipulating public opinion. The latest wave of false claims includes reports about the imposition of martial law and border closures, seeking to heighten public anxiety over the risk of war. Romanians, whether abroad or within the […]
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued new recommendations to Romania, among which is an increase in VAT, but also excise duties, dividend taxes, and the introduction of two income tax rates of 15% and 25%. At the same time, it recommends the reduction or elimination of the health insurance contribution, as well as a change in […]
