CFA Romania analysts have lowered their estimate for this year's economic growth to 3 percent, down half a percentage point from their previous forecasts, while their inflationary expectations have continued to rise amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, shows a statement issued on Tuesday by Romania's chartered financial analysts association.The average inflation rate for 2022 is seen at 8.03 percent, a record high ever since the CFA Romania survey began, while the budget deficit is expected to reach 6.7 percent.As regards the euro to RON exchange rate, the participants unanimously anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months, the average projection over a 6-month horizon standing at 5.0402 RON for one euro, and that over a 12-month horizon being 5.082 RON for one euro."Against the background of the risk aversion triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator continued to decline in March. A consequence of this increased risk aversion is the reduction of economic growth expectations, which have been cut by yet another half a percentage point from the previous issue [in March 2022]. At the same time, inflationary projections have continued to rise. As regards the evolution of interest rates, the survey participants expect the National Bank to hike the key interest rate to at least 4.25 percent in the next 12 months," said vice-president of the CFA Romania Association Adrian Codirlasu.The share of respondents who believe that residential real estate prices in major cities will rise in the next 12 months dropped to 13.6 percent, the lowest level since November 2020, while 40.9 percent of the respondents see them going down, the highest share since November 2020.CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 40.9 points due to the evolution of its projection component.CFA Romania is the association of Romanian investment professionals who hold the certification of Chartered Financial Analyst (CFAŽ), a credential granted by the US-based CFA Institute. The association currently has over 250 members.
The number of people in Romania at risk of poverty stood at 3.59 million people in 2024, 375,000 fewer than in 2023, representing a 9.4% decrease, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics, or INS. Despite the improvement, nearly one in five Romanians was affected by poverty last year. According to INS, 19% […]
The European Public Prosecutor’s Office (EPPO) in Cluj-Napoca carried out multiple searches on Tuesday, July 1, at the Sibiu International Airport and the Sibiu County Council as part of an investigation into suspected fraud involving a EUR 54 million EU-funded infrastructure project. A total of 24 locations were searched across Bucharest, Brașov, and Sibiu county, […]
A Romanian taxi driver who scammed 90-year-old Nigerian Nobel Prize laureate Wole Soyinka was detained by police on Sunday, June 29, according to media reports. On Friday, June 27, the venerable Nigerian arrived at Bucharest's Otopeni Airport. He got into a taxi and asked to be taken to a hotel downtown. At the destination, the […]
Costin Șerban, a Romanian entrepreneur, is digitalizing the construction sector in the United Kingdom with an ERP (enterprise resource planning) solution developed over 12 years and an investment of GBP 1.6 million (EUR 1.86 million). Șerban’s cloud-based ERP platform is called Abilo, was developed by the Romanian IT company Obi Systems, and is dedicated to […]
Border checks between Bulgaria and Romania have officially been lifted on July 1, as part of the implementation of the Schengen Agreement. The lifting marks the end of the transitional period of heightened control at the internal border, which had remained in place for six months following their accession to the Schengen area by land […]
Remus Vulpescu became CEO of the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB) on Tuesday, July 1, taking over from Adrian Tănase as the stock exchange grapples with a market dominated by government bonds. Vulpescu, 53, is a graduate in political and legal sciences from the University of Bucharest and holder of an EMBA obtained in 2017. He […]
