CFA Romania analysts estimate an economic growth of 2.3pct this year, down from previous forecasts, according to a press release of the organization sent on Thursday."Against the background of the risk aversion triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, as well as high inflation, the anticipation component of the CFA Romania's macroeconomic confidence indicator continued to decline in April. Moreover, inflation expectations also continued to rise, with the forecast inflation rate reaching a historic maximum of the poll. In terms of the evolution of interest rates, the participants in the survey anticipate further interest rate increases by the National Bank in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice president of the CFA Romania Association.According to the same source, the macroeconomic confidence indicator of the CFA Romania association remained constant, at 40.9 points. This situation was due to the divergent development of the two components of the indicator. The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon continued to rise, reaching an average of 8.43pct, as answers were provided prior to the publication of the quarterly inflation report.Regarding the euro/leu exchange rate, more than 82pct of the participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value), with no appreciation opinion recorded. Thus, the average value of the estimates for the 6-month horizon is 5.0048 lei for one euro while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0584 lei for one euro.The organization also notes a further decline in the share of respondents who believe that residential real estate prices in major cities will increase in the next 12 months (13.0pct, the lowest level since November 2020), at the same time with the increase in the share of participants who believe that the price will decrease (47.8pct, the highest share in November 2020). At the same time, 73.9pct of survey participants consider residential property prices in major cities to be overvalued.Regarding the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2022, the average value of anticipations increased to 6.9pct. The evolution, in real terms, of the GDP in 2022, decreased to 2.3pct compared to 5.9pct, as previously forecast.
The countdown is on until the start of the largest local fest, Transilvania International Film Festival on 13 June. Or, as everyone calls it: TIFF. To pass the time and (or) have an alternative, do not miss some of the most entertaining stories of all time courtesy of suspense master Alfred Hitchcock. And check out […]
Roughly 45.7% of Romanians believe the country’s May presidential elections were rather unfairly organized, while 50.4% believe they were fair, according to a survey by INSCOP Research. Romania's previous presidential elections, which saw centrist Bucharest mayor Nicusor Dan emerge victorious, saw extreme polarization. Immediately after...
CARFIL Brasov, central Romania, is set to begin production of three types of Romanian military UAVs this year, news agency Agerpres reported. The drones, named Cuda, Sirin, and a marine drone, were unveiled at the Southeast Europe Special Operations Forces Forum 2025 (SEESOF) in Targu Mures, the first international expo-forum dedicated to the special operations forces. ...
The National Meteorological Administration of Romania, or ANM, aims to become a European regional hub for professional training in the field of climate change, according to director general Elena Mateescu. The official noted during “The Future of Agriculture” forum held on Thursday, June 5, that the ANM has already completed the European Agrometeorology Center, which […]
Romania’s Interior Ministry (MAI) and Defense Ministry (MApN) have warned of ongoing disinformation campaigns on social media aimed at manipulating public opinion. The latest wave of false claims includes reports about the imposition of martial law and border closures, seeking to heighten public anxiety over the risk of war. Romanians, whether abroad or within the […]
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued new recommendations to Romania, among which is an increase in VAT, but also excise duties, dividend taxes, and the introduction of two income tax rates of 15% and 25%. At the same time, it recommends the reduction or elimination of the health insurance contribution, as well as a change in […]
