Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. CFA Romania analysts estimate 2.3pct economic growth this...

CFA Romania analysts estimate 2.3pct economic growth this year

May 26, 2022

CFA Romania analysts estimate an economic growth of 2.3pct this year, down from previous forecasts, according to a press release of the organization sent on Thursday."Against the background of the risk aversion triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, as well as high inflation, the anticipation component of the CFA Romania's macroeconomic confidence indicator continued to decline in April. Moreover, inflation expectations also continued to rise, with the forecast inflation rate reaching a historic maximum of the poll. In terms of the evolution of interest rates, the participants in the survey anticipate further interest rate increases by the National Bank in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice president of the CFA Romania Association.According to the same source, the macroeconomic confidence indicator of the CFA Romania association remained constant, at 40.9 points. This situation was due to the divergent development of the two components of the indicator. The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon continued to rise, reaching an average of 8.43pct, as answers were provided prior to the publication of the quarterly inflation report.Regarding the euro/leu exchange rate, more than 82pct of the participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value), with no appreciation opinion recorded. Thus, the average value of the estimates for the 6-month horizon is 5.0048 lei for one euro while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0584 lei for one euro.The organization also notes a further decline in the share of respondents who believe that residential real estate prices in major cities will increase in the next 12 months (13.0pct, the lowest level since November 2020), at the same time with the increase in the share of participants who believe that the price will decrease (47.8pct, the highest share in November 2020). At the same time, 73.9pct of survey participants consider residential property prices in major cities to be overvalued.Regarding the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2022, the average value of anticipations increased to 6.9pct. The evolution, in real terms, of the GDP in 2022, decreased to 2.3pct compared to 5.9pct, as previously forecast.

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
http://actmedia.eu/daily/cfa-romania-analysts-estimate-2.3pct-economic-growth-this-year/97850
Read in full - click here
Two-thirds of Romanian customers do not return for second purchase, analysis says

More than 2 out of 3 Romanian consumers do not return for a second purchase, according to the new Customer Loyalty Index, a comprehensive analysis based on aggregated data from campaigns and authored by White Image, the oldest email marketing company in Romania. The Index analyzes the post-purchase behavior of Romanian consumers and highlights major […]

Primark plans to open four new stores in Romania in 2026

Fashion retailer Primark announced major plans to expand its presence in Romania, confirming four new store openings for 2026. This will double its presence in the market and create over 450 new jobs. The announcement arrived at an important moment for the company, which marked three years since the opening of its first Romanian store […]

Romanian–Bulgarian consortium wins EUR 1 bln contract for Bacău–Piatra Neamț express road

Romania’s National Road Investment Company (CNIR) awarded on Tuesday, December 16, the contract for the design and construction of the Bacău–Piatra Neamț express road to a Romanian–Bulgarian consortium. The value of the contract is RON 5.17 billion (some EUR 1 billion), excluding VAT, and its signing will take place if no appeals are filed.  The […]

Romania to host first mixed team European Judo Championship

Romania will host its first mixed team European Judo Championship in 2027, according to the Romanian Judo Federation. The competition will take place at a key moment in the Olympic cycle, when the points earned will directly influence world rankings and qualification for the Olympic Games, according to FR Judo. The event will...

Economy minister Radu Miruță proposed to head Romania’s Defense Ministry

Radu Miruță, currently Romania’s economy minister, was proposed to lead the Defense Ministry. He will also hold the position of deputy prime minister. In his place, senator Irineu Darău has been proposed to take the helm of the Economy Ministry. The Defense and Economy Ministries are handled by the center-right reformist party Save Romania Union […]

Carrefour expands proximity network, reaches 200 Express stores in Romania

Carrefour Romania has expanded its proximity retail network, reaching 200 Express stores and 191 Market locations nationwide, as part of its strategy to strengthen convenience formats. The retailer announced that the 200th Carrefour Express store will open on December 22. In 2025 alone, Carrefour opened 27 Express stores, including 19 company-operated units and eight franchise […]