Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. CFA Romania: Budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP...

CFA Romania: Budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021, public debt - 54.1% of GDP in 12 months

January 19, 2022

CFA Romania analysts anticipate a budget deficit of 7.3% of GDP in 2021 and an inflation rate of 5.8% for the 12-month horizon, according to a press release from the organization.Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the deficit of the state budget anticipated for 2021 is 7.3%. The average value of expectations in real terms of GDP in 2021 is +6.6%, and for 2022 it stands at 3.9%. The public debt (percentage of GDP) will reach, in a 12-month horizon, about 54.1%.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon averaged 5.8%. As to the euro / leu exchange rate, over 91% of the survey participants predict a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months (compared to the current value). Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0517 lei, while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the forecast exchange rate is 5.1145 lei for one euro. Also, the lowest estimated euro / leu exchange rate for a 12-month horizon is 4.9600.The CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator decreased to 56.6 points (compared to the same month of the previous year, the indicator increased by 12.1 points). This situation was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator."In the context of the substantial rise in the inflation rate, inflationary expectations for the 12-month horizon continued to go up. In line with this trend, anticipations of higher interest rates on the monetary market rose, these indicating monetary policy interest at least three times higher in the next 12 months," said Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Association.Also, the majority of survey participants, 75%, anticipate that the economic impact of coronavirus will last at least until the fourth quarter of 2022. 

Read in full - click here
EuPlătesc.ro integrates Visa Click to Pay – a solution that can boost retailers' online sales by up to 30%

EuPlătesc.ro, one of Romania’s leading payment processors, has added Visa’s Click to Pay solution to its portfolio, offering retailers a modern, secure, and efficient online payment method. According to Visa estimates, this solution has the potential to increase online revenue for European retailers by up to 30%. Through this integration, EuPlătesc strengthens its mission to […]

ASSIST Software & University of Suceava lead Romania’s AI Push for Digital Accessibility

In a decisive step toward digital inclusion and in alignment with the European Accessibility Act, ASSIST Software and Ștefan cel Mare University of Suceava (USV) have officially launched A(I)BILITIES, a groundbreaking AI project designed to create adaptive, personalized user experiences for people with disabilities. The initiative is powered by generative AI technologies and aims to […]

Romanian environment minister announces “salvaged” RON 200 mln scrappage scheme for cars

Diana Buzoianu, Romania’s new environment minister, announced on Wednesday, July 16, that “Rabla,” the government-sponsored scrappage scheme aiming to replace older, polluting cars with newer models, will be resumed with a RON 200 million budget.  The minister made the announcement on her Facebook page, highlighting the budgetary difficulties facing the Romanian executive at the moment.  […]

Survey: Nearly 90% of Romanians are proud of their country, only half believe it offers a future for their children

Around 88% of Romanians declare they love their country and are proud of it, but only half believe it offers a good future for their children and future generations, according to an INSCOP Research survey. Around 75% of Romanians completely agree with the statement “I love Romania and I am proud of my country,” while […]

Romania’s Maramureș Airport applies for funding to build solar power facility

Maramureș International Airport in northern Romania has submitted a funding request for the implementation of a renewable energy project aimed at constructing a 2.5 MW photovoltaic park and an integrated battery storage system. The application was officially filed on July 14, according to the official announcement. The investment will cover the airport’s full electricity needs […]

Romania among countries projected to see sharp GDP, labor productivity decline due to heat

Romania will face some of the most severe economic consequences of heatwaves in Europe, with projected losses expected to exceed -2.5% of GDP by 2055–2064 due to lowered labor productivity, according to research published in Nature Communications and quoted by Euronews.  ...