CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Index dropped significantly in August, by 7.5 points, to 47.9 points.According to a press statement released by CFA Romania on Thursday, the decline was the result of a decrease in both components of the index, but a decrease in the anticipation component by 8.8 points to 38.3 points is noted."Amidst anticipated tax increases, the confidence indicator fell sharply in August. Also, the anticipation of indirect tax increases had the effect of a slight increase in inflationary expectations. Given the high uncertainty, economic growth expectations for 2023 have reduced substantially as well," said CFA Romania Deputy Chairman Adrian Codirlasu.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon increased slightly to at an average 7.58%.Regarding the euro/leu exchange rate, 81% of the respondents are anticipating a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0119 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0753 lei to the euro.Regarding the developments in residential property prices in cities, 50% of the participants anticipate a decrease in them, while 44% of the participants anticipate stability in the next 12 months. Also, 68% of the participants consider that the current prices are overvalued and 31% that they are correct.As far as the government deficit goes, the average value of the expectations for this year is 5.5%.For 2023, the anticipated value of real GDP growth decreased from the previous year to 2.1%. Public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 55% in the next 12 months.
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