The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator of the CFA Romania Association went up in October by 5.6 points to 53.0 points.According to a CFA Romania press statement released on Friday, what happened is both components of the indicator advanced."Anticipations of economic growth resumption in 2024 amidst increases in public spending probably led to increased confidence in the economy. Also, the disinflationary process will continue, but at a much slower pace, with inflation being projected to remain above 6% at the end of 2024, and tax policy remaining the main risk to the disinflationary process," according to Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Association.The anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (November 2024) was lowered to an average value of 6.28%.Regarding the EUR/RON exchange rate, over 76% of the participants are expecting a depreciation of the leu (RON) in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of expectations for the 6-month horizon is 5.0097 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon, is RON 5.0541 to the euro.Regarding the developments in property prices in cities, 47% of the participants anticipate a decrease in them, while another 47% of the participants anticipate stability in the next 12 months. Also, 58% of the participants consider that the current prices are too high and 29% that they are the right ones.The average value of the expectations for the government deficit this year is 5.6%. For the year 2023, the anticipated value of real GDP growth recorded the value of 2.0%.Public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 53% in the next 12 months.
The Ministry of Development proposed to the government to analyse the opportunity to develop an investment program dedicated to the economic recovery of small towns with a population of under 25,000 in non-metropolitan areas. The financial support for the development of these towns has been so far fragmented, and competition with large cities for funds proved […]
Prime minister Ilie Bolojan said on November 6 that he hopes that the ruling coalition will manage to legislate by the end of this month the rest of the second package of budgetary measures, namely the public administration streamlining law and the law on magistrates' pensions. Unless the law on the public administration is legislated, […]
Japanese group Makita announced that it will reduce production of power tools in China for the US market due to the unpredictability of US tariffs and move this production to factories in Romania and Thailand, according to Nikkei Asia, as reported by Economica.net. The Japanese group reported business of almost EUR 640 million locally...
The Competition Council has outlined a series of concerns related to the transaction through which the Schwarz group, which operates the Kaufland and Lidl store chains in Romania, intends to take over the La Cocoș stores, according to a press release quoted by
Romania’s flag carrier, Tarom, has requested the government to disburse a new tranche of restructuring state aid approved in 2024 to address the current liquidity deficit, Profit.ro reported. The company argued that, because of late payment penalties...
Retail sales volume contracted by 2.3% q/q in Q3, resulting in a 0.3% y/y decline in Romania (the second negative reading since the Covid-19 pandemic), visibly dragged down by the real wages that contracted by 3.7% y/y in July-August (latest data available) after +2.2% y/y in Q2, +4.6% y/y in Q1 and around 9%-10% y/y […]
