The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator produced by the CFA Romania Association was 4.7 points up this June to 52.1 points, as an effect of the 5.6-point increase in the current conditions component of the indicator and of the advance by 4.3 points of the anticipation component.The inflation rate anticipated for the 12-month horizon (June 2025) decreased compared to the previous report to an average of 4.67 percent. Approximately 71 percent of the respondents expect the inflation rate to drop in the next 12 months. Also, a considerable share of the participants (46 percent) anticipate that the inflation rate will enter the target band (1.5 percent - 3.5 percent) in 2026.Regarding exchange rate expectations, around 86 percent of the respondents predict a depreciation of the domestic leu in the next 12 months, while the rest see it keeping steady. Thus, the average projections for the next six months are for a rate of RON 5.0133 for one euro, while for the coming 12 months, the average anticipated exchange rate is RON 5.0722 for one euro.As far as the evolution of urban residential property prices is concerned, 64 percent of the respondents anticipate a stagnation in the next 12 months, while 21 percent expect them to increase. Also, 50 percent of the participants in the survey believe that the current prices are fairly assessed, and 43 percent consider that they are overestimated.The state budget deficit for 2024 was upwardly adjusted from the previous report and stands at 6.5 percent, while economic growth expectations for the current year remained relatively constant compared to 2023, at 2.8 percent.The public debt expressed as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 53 percent in the next 12 months.
Romania has become the EU country with the highest unemployment rate among young people under 25 (26.3%), according to official Eurostat data published in December 2024 and analyzed by the Social Monitor, a project of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation Romania. Thus, Romania surpassed states such as Spain and Greece, where youth unemployment has always been […]
In its half-year report for the second half of 2024, TikTok said it blocked 33,000 spam accounts in Romania and nearly 100,000 fake accounts. It highlighted its intense activity in blocking fraudulent activity related to Romania, particularly during the electoral campaign, indirectly admitting the...
Moldovan president Maia Sandu has acknowledged that some local entrepreneurs are transferring capital to Romania due to its stability as a European Union and NATO member state. Speaking about the country's economic stagnation in 2024, when GDP grew by only 0.1%, and the technical recession in the second half of the year, Sandu highlighted concerns […]
Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are set to become a central component of Romania's power system, according to Oxford-based Aurora Energy Research, whose analysts see investments in Romania's BESS totaling several gigawatts of capacity and several billion euros over the next decade. Aurora pointed to both the opportunities and the risks and uncertainties associated with […]
Romania’s insurance market grew by 11% year-on-year in 2024, reaching a total gross written premium volume of RON 23.4bn (EUR 4.7bn), according to a report published on 1 April by the Financial Supervisory Authority (ASF). General insurance accounted for 81% of total underwritings, while life insurance represented 19%. The total value of insurance premiums for […]
Romania’s authorities are reportedly negotiating with Turkish company Desan Shipyard, which is pondering the option of taking over the activity of Damen Shipyards Mangalia, abandoned last year by its 49% strategic shareholder Damen and currently under insolvency, according to
