CFA Society Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased by 2.3 points in January 2025, to 40.4 points, and the inflation rate in the next 12 months is anticipated at 4.97%."Also this year, the main challenges of the Romanian economy will be the a wide government deficit, economic growth below potential, as well as inflation. Thus, the participants in the survey are expecting the deficit to narrow by only one percentage point, economic growth similar to the one recorded in the previous year and also the inflation rate levelling out at its current value," according to Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Society.The Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased in January by 2.3 points, up to 40.4 points. This situation was due to an increase in both its components. Thus, the expectations component increased by 1.7 points, to 32.5 points. At the same time, the current conditions component increased by 3.5 points, to 56.2 points.At the same time, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (February 2026) stood at an average of 4.97%.As for the euro (EUR)/leu (RON) exchange rate, all participants anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is RON 5.0759 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is RON 5.1595 to the euro.Regarding the developments in residential property prices in cities, 39% of the participants are expecting stagnation in the next 12 months, while 45% are expecting an increase and 29% a decrease. Also, 62% of the participants consider that the current prices are overvalued, and 33% that they are correctly valued.The government deficit forecast for 2025 stayed at the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP. Economic growth expectations for 2025 are slightly higher than the previous year, at an average value of 1.5%.The public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 55% in the next 12 months.The survey has been conducted monthly by the CFA Society Romania for over 13 years, being an indicator through which the organisation wants to quantify the expectations of financial analysts regarding the economic activity in Romania for a time horizon of one year.CFA Society Romania is an organisation of investment professionals in Romania, holders of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) title, a qualification administered by the US CFA Institute.
Elon Musk's mother, Maye Musk, re-shared a post about the Craiova Christmas Market on X on Monday, December 1. She described the event as "beautiful" and included three emojis in her caption. The original post highlighted that the Craiova Christmas Market was taking place in a safe environment. "No concrete barriers. No armed guards. No […]
Real estate developer Globalworth has begun construction on Green Court D, the fourth building in its Green Court office complex in Bucharest’s Aurel Vlaicu area. Scheduled for completion in 2027, the project is now in its preliminary phase, which includes enclosure works and excavation for the basement structure, the company said. The new building will […]
Romania’s National Committee for Emergency Situations decided to distribute drinking water from the state reserves to 13 localities in the counties of Prahova and Dâmboviţa. The area was severely impacted by a drop in water levels at the Paltinu Dam, leading to problems in the water distribution system and affecting over 100,000 people, local hospitals, […]
Rock star Marilyn Manson will return to Romania next summer to perform at Rockstadt Extreme Fest, organizers announced on Tuesday, December 2. He is among the headliners confirmed for the local rock and metal festival, which will take place from July 27 to 31 in Ghimbav, Brașov county. “For the first time ever, Marilyn Manson […]
Romania’s government has assumed responsibility in Parliament for legislation reforming magistrates’ pensions, prime minister Ilie Bolojan announced on December 2. He said the draft law had received the opinion of the High Court of Cassation and Justice, noting that the court’s assessment was negative. It is the government’s second attempt to have the bill promulgated, […]
Romania Education Alliance (REA), the first private school network in the country, announced it has exceeded the milestone of 1,000 students enrolled across its member schools just one year after launch. "The fact that we surpassed 1,000 students in our very first year of activity shows that the REA model addresses a real need in […]
