CFA Society Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased by 2.3 points in January 2025, to 40.4 points, and the inflation rate in the next 12 months is anticipated at 4.97%."Also this year, the main challenges of the Romanian economy will be the a wide government deficit, economic growth below potential, as well as inflation. Thus, the participants in the survey are expecting the deficit to narrow by only one percentage point, economic growth similar to the one recorded in the previous year and also the inflation rate levelling out at its current value," according to Adrian Codirlasu, vice-president of the CFA Romania Society.The Macroeconomic Confidence Index increased in January by 2.3 points, up to 40.4 points. This situation was due to an increase in both its components. Thus, the expectations component increased by 1.7 points, to 32.5 points. At the same time, the current conditions component increased by 3.5 points, to 56.2 points.At the same time, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (February 2026) stood at an average of 4.97%.As for the euro (EUR)/leu (RON) exchange rate, all participants anticipate a depreciation of the national currency in the next 12 months. Thus, the average value of the anticipations for the 6-month horizon is RON 5.0759 lei to the euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is RON 5.1595 to the euro.Regarding the developments in residential property prices in cities, 39% of the participants are expecting stagnation in the next 12 months, while 45% are expecting an increase and 29% a decrease. Also, 62% of the participants consider that the current prices are overvalued, and 33% that they are correctly valued.The government deficit forecast for 2025 stayed at the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP. Economic growth expectations for 2025 are slightly higher than the previous year, at an average value of 1.5%.The public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 55% in the next 12 months.The survey has been conducted monthly by the CFA Society Romania for over 13 years, being an indicator through which the organisation wants to quantify the expectations of financial analysts regarding the economic activity in Romania for a time horizon of one year.CFA Society Romania is an organisation of investment professionals in Romania, holders of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) title, a qualification administered by the US CFA Institute.
The Patriarch of the Romanian Orthodox Church, Daniel, congratulated Pope Leo XIV for succeeding Pope Francis on Thursday, May 8. He expressed confidence that the new pope will continue to promote "the spirit of dialogue, peace, and cooperation between the Roman Catholic Church and the Orthodox Church." "In a world facing multiple spiritual, economic, and […]
The organizers of the Untold festival announced they will offer a RON 150 (EUR 30) voucher toward the purchase of a festival pass to anyone who votes on May 18, during the second round of the presidential elections. In an online message, Untold representatives emphasized the connection between civic participation and the future of every […]
The Open Streets program, which sees the city's major arteries close for car traffic and become pedestrian areas, returns this weekend with a program of exhibitions, concerts, and a Festival of Lights. On Saturday, May 10, at 2:00 p.m., the public is invited to the Made in Romania exhibition, which presents a selection of civilian […]
Joseph Stiglitz, the famous economist and professor at Columbia University in New York, and winner of the Nobel Prize in economy in 2001, told an audience in Cluj, Romania, that governments must stimulate exports and key sectors when facing deficits. Stiglitz was in Romania on Thursday, May 8, to receive the title of Doctor Honoris […]
The Constitutional Court unanimously validated on Friday, May 9, the results of the first round of the presidential elections. It also rejected as unfounded a request to annul the elections filed by Sebastian-Constantin Popescu, the presidential candidate of the New Romania Party, it announced. The runoff, set for May 18, will see ultranationalist leader George […]
Bucharest's culinary scene welcomes back OLEA, the JW Marriott Bucharest Grand Hotel's celebrated Mediterranean destination, now reimagined with a fresh concept that blends authentic coastal flavours with contemporary sophistication. Following an extensive transformation, OLEA reopens its doors to offer guests a refined journey through the Mediterranean's sun-drenched culinary traditions, right in the heart of Romania's […]
