Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. Coface Romania : Nobody forecasts recession for Romania...

Coface Romania : Nobody forecasts recession for Romania this year

March 20, 2024

  This year should be a year of truce, a resilient year in many sectors and in which no economic contraction is expected, Bogdan Nichisoiu, Coface Romania rating manager, told at a press conference on Wednesday."2024 should be a year of truce. A resilient year on very, very many sectors, very many vectors of economic traction. I look at what our whole profession, yes, and in a broad sense, what the IMF says, what the European Commission forecasts, yes, so this whole portfolio of predictions for 2024, the common denominator is that for Romania nobody is pointing to recession. So this range of economic growth is between 2.4 - 3.5%, obviously the option, the most optimistic prediction being that of the Government, but it is important to note that nobody is predicting a recession, a contraction of the economy. We practically join this thesis. Why? Because we believe in the resilience of private consumption in 2024. This is an election year. Statistically in the last 30 years, no election year has ever had a contraction in private consumption. We have a tight labor market. I don't think, it would be the surprise of the century for me to see an exacerbation of unemployment. The money will continue to stay in the pockets of employees. A real salary that stays in positive territory. Even if we have this kind of inflection point in January, we still see inflation in this range at the end of the year of 5.5 to 6 percentage points. We think that nominal wages will increase by about 7 - 8 percentage points, real wages we see in a positive zone. Again, this is an ingredient that should bring resilience to private consumption," said Bogdan Nichisoiu.He said that without a major external shock he does not see a "frugal figure" in the consumption area in 2024, as it was in 2023, of 1.9%, but a higher one.However, the impact of energy costs is more diluted and if things stay as they are in the Middle East they do not massively impact the liquefied natural gas ecosystem on which Europe depends.  

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
http://actmedia.eu/daily/coface-romania-nobody-forecasts-recession-for-romania-this-year/107326
Read in full - click here
Radisson Blu Hotel, Bucharest Earns Top Honors Across Global & Local Hospitality Awards

Radisson Blu Hotel, Bucharest, Romania’s largest five-star hospitality complex and a flagship property within the Radisson Hotels portfolio, has been recognized with multiple international and national awards, underscoring its continued commitment to excellence, innovation, and guest satisfaction. At the 32nd Annual World Travel Awards – Europe Gala Ceremony, held in Sardinia, Italy, Radisson Blu Hotel, […]

Christmas begins at Corinthia Grand Hotel du Boulevard

The public is invited to discover a spectacular festive concept inspired by the charm of the Victorian era Corinthia Grand Hotel du Boulevard will officially start the winter holiday season, lighting up Bucharest’s first Christmas decorations on 24 November at 7:00 PM, symbolically marking the opening scene of the city’s festive celebrations. The hotel transforms into […]

Interwar building in central Bucharest to be demolished, converted into Holocaust Museum

The office building of the former tire manufacturer Banloc-Goodrich in central Bucharest will be demolished for the construction of the Holocaust Museum, Profit.ro reported. The investment, valued at EUR 54.2 million, is partly covered by the EU-backed Recovery and Resilience...

One United Properties posts a consolidated turnover of 236.3 million euros and a gross profit of 84.8 million euros in 9M 2025

One United Properties (BVB: ONE), Romania’s leading green developer of residential, mixed-use, and office real estate, recorded a turnover of 236.3 million euros in the first nine months of 2025, up 13% year-on-year (YoY), and a gross profit of 84.8 million euros, up 20% YoY, while the net profit stood at 70.3 million euros, up […]

Romanian composer and pianist Horia Moculescu dies at 88

Famed Romanian composer Horia Moculescu died on Wednesday, November 12, at the age of 88.  The composer, pianist, and performer was born on March 18, 1937, in Râmnicu-Vâlcea. At the age of six, he learned to play the accordion. He attended secondary school in Turda at the Boys’ High School (now the “Mihai Viteazul” National […]

MerchantPro Compass: Black Friday day returns to growth, with +10% more transactions

Romanians shift priorities: Health, Culture, and Hobbies take the lead, while Fashion and Home&Deco lose ground to low-cost non-EU commerce Black Friday 2025 marks a turning point for Romanian eCommerce. After two years of stagnation, the day recorded a +10% increase in the number of transactions, while the overall campaign week saw a +20% rise […]