Ooni Koda
  1. Home
  2. /
  3. Newsfeed
  4. /
  5. Coface Romania : Nobody forecasts recession for Romania...

Coface Romania : Nobody forecasts recession for Romania this year

March 20, 2024

  This year should be a year of truce, a resilient year in many sectors and in which no economic contraction is expected, Bogdan Nichisoiu, Coface Romania rating manager, told at a press conference on Wednesday."2024 should be a year of truce. A resilient year on very, very many sectors, very many vectors of economic traction. I look at what our whole profession, yes, and in a broad sense, what the IMF says, what the European Commission forecasts, yes, so this whole portfolio of predictions for 2024, the common denominator is that for Romania nobody is pointing to recession. So this range of economic growth is between 2.4 - 3.5%, obviously the option, the most optimistic prediction being that of the Government, but it is important to note that nobody is predicting a recession, a contraction of the economy. We practically join this thesis. Why? Because we believe in the resilience of private consumption in 2024. This is an election year. Statistically in the last 30 years, no election year has ever had a contraction in private consumption. We have a tight labor market. I don't think, it would be the surprise of the century for me to see an exacerbation of unemployment. The money will continue to stay in the pockets of employees. A real salary that stays in positive territory. Even if we have this kind of inflection point in January, we still see inflation in this range at the end of the year of 5.5 to 6 percentage points. We think that nominal wages will increase by about 7 - 8 percentage points, real wages we see in a positive zone. Again, this is an ingredient that should bring resilience to private consumption," said Bogdan Nichisoiu.He said that without a major external shock he does not see a "frugal figure" in the consumption area in 2024, as it was in 2023, of 1.9%, but a higher one.However, the impact of energy costs is more diluted and if things stay as they are in the Middle East they do not massively impact the liquefied natural gas ecosystem on which Europe depends.  

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
http://actmedia.eu/daily/coface-romania-nobody-forecasts-recession-for-romania-this-year/107326
Read in full - click here
DP World boosts European trade with EUR 130 mln investment in three new sites in Romania

DP World announced on May 15 the opening of three new sites in Romania, following total investments of over EUR 130 million. The company said the projects aim to provide “a significant boost to the country’s growing status as a key hub of European trade.” Thus, Constanta, the largest container port on the Black Sea, […]

CONFIDEX Index: Confidence of Romanian managers and entrepreneurs at highest levels in four years

Measuring the confidence of Romanian managers and entrepreneurs in the local economy for over 4 years, the results of the 10th edition of the CONFIDEX study highlight the optimism, resilience, and adaptability of the Romanian business environment. According to the CONFIDEX study from the first semester of this year, the proportion of managers who declare […]

BT Property acquires retail park in Romania from Polish group Scallier

Alternative investment fund BT Property said on May 15 that it acquired Funshop Park Turda, Cluj county, from the Polish group Scallier. The transaction marks the fund's entry into the retail market, where it aims to expand. Funshop Park Turda retail park has over 9,000 sqm of leasable area and BREEAM-certified buildings, according to international standards.  BT Asset […]

New multimedia platform Attractive Romania promotes 12 cultural routes to explore in the country

Attractive Romania/România Atractivă was launched this week with the aim of offering local and foreign tourists a new tool to explore the country. The multimedia platform includes 12 thematic routes in 35 counties, listing 275 landmarks to discover. The program, with a value of over RON 36.3 million, is part of the National Recovery and Resilience […]

Weekend calendar: Night of Museums, Cinepolitica, RAD Art Fair, AUTOR jewelry fair, World Press Photo, Romanian Creative Week, International Shakespeare Festival and more

It’s a packed agenda this week, with film festivals, art and jewelry fairs, events for foodies, the start of the light and music show at Bucharest’s Unirii fountains, and an anniversary but slimmed-down edition of the Night of Museums. The public in Iași can attend the events of the Romanian Creative Week, while theater fans […]

Study: Third of doctors in Romania experiencing burnout, half of young doctors want to go abroad

According to a recent study, 34-36% of doctors in Romania are experiencing burnout, and 58% of young doctors want to leave Romania to practice abroad for better working conditions.  The study was presented by the president of the College of Physicians of Romania, Professor Dr. Daniel Coriu, and it also shows that 80% of the […]