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Erste Group revises downward forecast on Romania's 2025 economic growth to 1.3%

June 10, 2025

Because of the slower-than-anticipated GDP growth in Q1 (+0.3% y/y) and also accounting for high-frequency data signals for the second quarter, Erste Group has revised its full-year GDP growth forecast for this year to 1.3% from 1.8%. This is close to the government's 1.4% revised forecast issued in May. 

Due to the much-anticipated fiscal consolidation measures, which will likely be implemented later this year, consumption is expected to decelerate further in 2025. Investments will...

The text of this article has been partially taken from the publication:
https://www.romania-insider.com/erste-downward-forecast-romania-gdp-2025
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