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Finance Minister on 2.5% economic growth forecast: Romania is capable of this growth

February 16, 2025

  The minister of finances, Tanczos Barna rejects the idea according to which estimated economic growth at 2.5% is too optimistic, explaining that at the basis of this estimate there are figures of the Prognosis Commission and the National Bank, as specialized institutions. Tanczos shows that he trusts the figures presented by the two institutions.   The minister of public finances explained on Friday night that at the basis of the prognosis which shows that Romania will have this year an economic growth of 2.5% are the figures of some specialized institutions such as the National Bank of Romania and the Prognosis Commission, mentioning that the figures are recent.   ‘Romania is capable of such growth, I am certain that the economy is able to have this growth as I saw last year that there are sectors which went very well, but we have some elements which could help us especially for 2025: we have Schengen which has practically opened the borders and offered new perspectives to the Romanian economy’ stated Tanczos Barna at TVR Info.    He added that agriculture, the auto industry are sectors which could help with the economic growth. The minister mentioned ‘a positive element’ as regards economic growth which is the digitization process of ANAF, institution which will concentrate on the grey economy. According to the minister, in 2024 ANAF collected 70 billion lei more than in 2023. In his opinion, Romania has already surpassed seven EU member states with a lower GDP per capita, and we are on the rise. "If we look at the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the recovery of the gaps compared to other EU member states, we can see from Eurostat, the official statistics of the European Union, that Romania has already left behind seven member states with a lower GDP per capita than Romania, and we are very close to Estonia, and we are on the rise. This is important because Poland, Hungary, Croatia, Slovakia, Latvia, Greece, and Bulgaria, countries with solid economies, are behind us. We can say, without a doubt, that Romania can rely on solid economic growth, with a growing and developing economy," the minister said during a briefing at the end of the Government meeting in which this year's budget was approved.He pointed out that this development is, on one hand, due to positive economic trends, with one of the most important elements being the evolution of labour productivity."We can see that we have left behind the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, and in this regard, Romania is now at the forefront of this group, which includes Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Hungary and Poland. So, regarding labour productivity, the signs are encouraging. The structural developments of the last 10 years also show a gradual reduction in the number of people employed in agriculture and an increase in the number of people in the service and industrial sectors. This is also beneficial for the economy. Agricultural productivity is growing significantly, mainly due to investments," explained Tanczos Barna.According to him, investments continue to be the engine of this economic growth, and Romania can strengthen its position with the support of the National Bank of Romania."The reserves of the National Bank, the international reserves, are increasing, and this provides stability and credibility to Romania. This is a positive thing. These are the elements that, in practice, create the premises for a 2.5% economic growth in 2025," the Finance minister highlighted.  

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