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INSCOP Survey: The intention to vote in the European parliamentary elections

April 4, 2024

PSD-PNL would obtain 43.7% of the votes in the European parliamentary elections, AUR – 20.6%, and Alian?a Dreapta Unit?/ The United Right Alliance (USR, PMP, Right Force) – 13.7%, according to the data of a survey carried out by INSCOP commissioned by News.ro.   Regarding the vote in local elections, in the case of local councils, PSD would obtain 30.6%, PNL – 25.6%, AUR – 17.4%, United Right Alliance – 9.8%. More than half of Romanians have a good opinion about merging the European parliamentary elections with the local ones, the INSCOP survey also reveals.   Merger of the elections   57.2% of Romanians have a good opinion about the merger of the elections for the European Parliament and the local elections on June 9, while 36.2% have a bad opinion. 5.9% do not know or cannot appreciate, and 0.7% do not answer, according to INSCOP.   76% of PSD-PNL voters, 50% of AUR voters and 47% of ADU voters have a good opinion about the merger. 20% of PSD-PNL voters, 47% of AUR voters and 51% of ADU voters have a bad opinion about the merger.   They have a good opinion about merging in slightly higher proportions than the average, especially people with higher education, white collar workers and those with very high incomes. They have a bad opinion about merging, especially blue-collar workers, residents of Bucharest and those with low incomes. PSD-PNL candidacy on common lists in the European Parliament and separately in local ones   36.9% of the total population has a good opinion about the decision of PNL and PSD to run on joint lists in the European Parliament elections (make an alliance), and in the local elections to apply separately. 51.3% have a bad opinion about this decision. 10.8% do not know or cannot appreciate, and 1% do not answer. 64% of the PSD-PNL voters, 18% of the AUR voters and 35% of the ADU voters have a good opinion about the joint or separate candidacy for the two types of elections. 28% of PSD-PNL voters, 74% of AUR voters and 56% of ADU voters have a bad opinion about this solution.   They have a good opinion about the decision of the PNL and PSD to run on common lists in the European parliamentary elections, and on separate lists in the local ones, especially the potentially active inactives, people who do not have an account on social media and those with very high incomes. I share the opposite opinion, especially the residents of Bucharest and the North-West region.   Turnout estimates   On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means that “definitely no” will vote and 10 “definitely yes” will vote, 12.5% of Romanians chose 1, 1, 2% chose 2, 1.2% chose 3, 1.4% chose 4, 5.7% chose 5, 2% chose 6, 5.6% chose 7, 6.4% indicated 8 , 4.7% 9 and 59.1% indicate 10. 0.2% do not know or do not answer this question.

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