The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator of the CFA Romania Association decreased in March 1.4 points to 51.6 points, a situation that was due to the divergent evolution of the two components of the indicator: the increase of 5.2 points for current conditions and, at the same time, the decrease of 4.7 points for expectations that have a horizon of 12 months.According to a press release from the association, the anticipated inflation rate for the 12-month horizon (April 2025) averaged 5.33%. At the same time, more than 75% of participants anticipate a reduction in the inflation rate over the next 12 months.As regards the EUR/RON exchange rate, around 88% of participants anticipate a depreciation of the leu in the next 12 months and the rest a stagnation. Thus, the average value of expectations for the 6-month horizon is 4.9961 lei for one euro, while for the 12-month horizon, the average value of the anticipated exchange rate is 5.0419 lei for one euro."Although, in the short term, due to the inflow of public money, confidence in the economy is growing, for the 12-month horizon, given the macroeconomic imbalances and high fiscal uncertainty, confidence in the economy has declined," said CFA Romania vice president Adrian Codirlasu.Regarding the evolution of residential property prices in the cities, most of the participants, 44% expect a stability in the next 12 months, while 38% expect an increase in prices. Also, 62% of participants believe that current prices are overpriced, while 38% believe that they are correctly priced.The projected state budget deficit for 2024 is expected (average value of expectations) to be 5.4%, and economic growth is expected to be 2.7%.Public debt, calculated as a percentage of GDP, is expected to increase to 53% in the next 12 months.In the March exercise a survey was also conducted on the evolution of the inflation rate in the coming years as well as on the evolution of the monetary policy interest rate. Thus, 29% of survey participants expect the first interest rate cut in May 2024 and 36% expect the first interest rate cut in July 2024. As for the inflation rate entering the target range (1.5% - 3.5%), 56% of participants anticipate it will happen in 2025, while 25% anticipate that this will happen in 2026.
Faster declines in orders and output fail to dampen future outlook Reduced demand for inputs sees inflationary pressures cool... ...and supplier performance improve for the first time on record The Romanian manufacturing downturn deepened in March, as firms signalled a deterioration across all elements of the headline PMI. New orders and output decreased at faster […]
Digital services revenue is estimated to rise by 44%, expanding from 34% to nearly half (49%) of companies revenue by 2029, according to a report compiled from IDC surveys across Europe, Asia-Pacific region (APAC), and the Middle East demanded by Endava (NYSE ‘DAVA’), a leading technology services company combining world-class engineering, industry expertise, and a […]
On Monday, March 31, a detachment of the Romanian Air Force called "Carpathian Vipers" began executing an enhanced air policing mission in Lithuania. The mission will last four months, between April and July 2025. The "Carpathian Vipers" detachment, consisting of approximately 100 military personnel and four F-16 Fighting Falcon aircraft, will carry out missions alongside […]
On Tuesday, April 1, controversial brothers and influencers Andrew and Tristan Tate left for Dubai after meeting with DIICOT prosecutors. Before they departed, the brothers mentioned that they would return to Romania within the legal period of two months, in accordance with the obligations of judicial control. "On April 1, 2025, Andrew Tate and Tristan […]
Wizz Air has officially opened its base at Bucharest Băneasa Airport, the capital’s secondary one, which will be served by an Airbus A321neo aircraft. An additional aircraft will also operate from Bucharest’s Henri Coandă Airport (Otopeni) from August 1, bringing the total number of aircraft based in Bucharest to 21 this summer, the carrier said. […]
A blood donation event will take place on Friday, April 4, at the Bucharest City Hall. Participation will be allowed only after phone confirmation from the organizers. Blood donation at the event is not remunerated, but each donor has the right to receive the results of the tests performed. They also receive meal vouchers worth […]
