Romania's economy could grow next year by 2.1% and inflation could be 8.7% at the end of the year, says Ciprian Dascalu, head economist with BCR. 'Our forecast says: 2.1 economic growth next year. To mention some background hypotheses. I think the main hypothesis is growth in the euro zone - 0.1% - similar to the working hypothesis. To give it some flexibility, if from this 0.1% we go to -1/+1% namely an adjustment of a percentage point on one side or another of the growth in the euro zone affects the growth prognosis for GDP in Romania with almost 0.7 - 0.8 %. This is the flexibility in our estimate.Inflation 8.7% at the end of the year. Again, the hypothesis that the measures will remain and they have already been approved extended, the support measures for the costs with energy up to 2025. Another hypothesis is oil price. If we watch futures curve for oil, at the end of next year the prices are anticipated to drop. And this brings a disinflationist effect and for the first round, somewhere a drop in the oil price of about 10% - it would mean effect of round one, somewhere about 0.2 percentage point of inflation. And the effects of round two get somewhere to 0.4%, said Ciprian Dascalu on Friday at the annual conference of the Association of Financial-Banking Analysts of Romania (AAFBR), event organised with the support of PwC Romania and BRD -GSG. As regards interests, he said that BNR closed down its cycle of strengthening on the key rate at 6.75% in November. Asked about the possible key interest for next year, he said that he sees it as constant for the whole of 2023. At the same time, Florian Libocor, founding member of AAFBR, head economist with BRD-GSG stated that 2023 will not mean recession for Romania, but a slowing down of the growth rhythm. He mentioned that next year will be a year of resilience.
Balancing career success with personal growth is a challenge many professionals face today. As the pressure to achieve and perform increases, many begin to crave more than just success: they want clarity, alignment, and a deeper sense of purpose. For Lin Holmquist, business coach and one of Europe’s most acclaimed experts in Tantra, Yoga, and […]
CFR Călători, the state-owned railway company for passengers, announced that the first train entirely made up of rolling stock modernized with funds from the EU-backed Recovery and Resilience Fund (PNRR) was introduced on the Bucharest North – Constanța route. The train, which is already running, consists of a locomotive delivered by the Softronic factory in […]
The first edition of Urban Habits (nUH), a festival aiming to be “a space for ideas, debates, co-creation, and experimentation,” takes place between April 26 and April 27 at Lokal and on Erou Ion Călin Street, which will be temporarily transformed into a pedestrian space. The program will address themes ranging from innovation, design, and […]
Mall Moldova, the largest shopping center in the Moldova region, officially opened on April 17 in Iași, covering 110,000 sqm. Developed by Prime Kapital, in partnership with MAS P.L.C., Mall Moldova is part of a large-scale investment plan carried out by the two investors in Iași, worth approximately half a billion euros, which also includes […]
Cătălin Chimir, founder and managing director of construction management company SENARIA, discusses the challenges and opportunities in Romania’s construction and real estate sectors and shares valuable insights on how to maximize project profitability and avoid common mistakes. Despite a stable demand for development, the Romanian construction market remains fragile due to factors like labor shortages, […]
Hoinar.Odyssey, the eighth edition of the classical music festival, explores in 2025 the theme of travel. It proposes a concept that brings together classical music, jazz, electronic sounds, contemporary theater, a musical, and new literature. The event, scheduled to take place between May 15 and May 20 at the ACT Theatre and the Romanian Athenaeum, […]
