Romania's economy could grow next year by 2.1% and inflation could be 8.7% at the end of the year, says Ciprian Dascalu, head economist with BCR. 'Our forecast says: 2.1 economic growth next year. To mention some background hypotheses. I think the main hypothesis is growth in the euro zone - 0.1% - similar to the working hypothesis. To give it some flexibility, if from this 0.1% we go to -1/+1% namely an adjustment of a percentage point on one side or another of the growth in the euro zone affects the growth prognosis for GDP in Romania with almost 0.7 - 0.8 %. This is the flexibility in our estimate.Inflation 8.7% at the end of the year. Again, the hypothesis that the measures will remain and they have already been approved extended, the support measures for the costs with energy up to 2025. Another hypothesis is oil price. If we watch futures curve for oil, at the end of next year the prices are anticipated to drop. And this brings a disinflationist effect and for the first round, somewhere a drop in the oil price of about 10% - it would mean effect of round one, somewhere about 0.2 percentage point of inflation. And the effects of round two get somewhere to 0.4%, said Ciprian Dascalu on Friday at the annual conference of the Association of Financial-Banking Analysts of Romania (AAFBR), event organised with the support of PwC Romania and BRD -GSG. As regards interests, he said that BNR closed down its cycle of strengthening on the key rate at 6.75% in November. Asked about the possible key interest for next year, he said that he sees it as constant for the whole of 2023. At the same time, Florian Libocor, founding member of AAFBR, head economist with BRD-GSG stated that 2023 will not mean recession for Romania, but a slowing down of the growth rhythm. He mentioned that next year will be a year of resilience.
On October 30, 2025, Envisia will host the 3rd edition of the Future of Boards Gala. The event brings together board members, executives, and governance ecosystem partners for an evening dedicated to recognizing responsible leadership, corporate governance, and high-performing boards. The six award categories celebrate individuals and boards who, through courageous decisions and integrity, create […]
The European real estate debt market is showing clear signs of recovery, supported by stabilized interest rates, competitive lending, and renewed investor confidence. According to AEW’s latest research, the credit financing gap across Europe is narrowing, with improved lending conditions helping to ease refinancing pressures that have weighed on the sector in recent years. Between […]
French retail chain Carrefour may want to sell its stores in Romania and exit the market, according to the French publication L’Informe. Moreover, it would also like to get rid of its operations in Poland and Argentina, according to the same source. So far, Carrefour has reportedly only analyzed a possible exit from the local […]
Romanians are not looking forward to Black Friday with more enthusiasm than last year, according to a recent survey. The main reasons are economic instability and the decline in purchasing power. Around 22% of Romanians say they will not buy anything on Black Friday 2025, and only 15% of Romanians plan to spend more compared […]
Cristina Ghițulică, a faculty member at the Faculty of Chemical Engineering and Biotechnologies (Politehnica Bucharest), was elected as the first woman president of the European Association for Quality Assurance in Higher Education, or ENQA. Ghițulică is the director general of the Romanian Agency for Quality Assurance in Higher Education. She was elected to head ENQA […]
The Bucharest National Opera and the Kinetobebe Association announced “The Dance of Velvet Steps,” a premiere performance for the audience with special needs, on Sunday, November 16. The show consists of a ballet performance adapted and made accessible for children and adults with disabilities. The performance is primarily addressed to children and adults with special […]
