Romania's economy could grow next year by 2.1% and inflation could be 8.7% at the end of the year, says Ciprian Dascalu, head economist with BCR. 'Our forecast says: 2.1 economic growth next year. To mention some background hypotheses. I think the main hypothesis is growth in the euro zone - 0.1% - similar to the working hypothesis. To give it some flexibility, if from this 0.1% we go to -1/+1% namely an adjustment of a percentage point on one side or another of the growth in the euro zone affects the growth prognosis for GDP in Romania with almost 0.7 - 0.8 %. This is the flexibility in our estimate.Inflation 8.7% at the end of the year. Again, the hypothesis that the measures will remain and they have already been approved extended, the support measures for the costs with energy up to 2025. Another hypothesis is oil price. If we watch futures curve for oil, at the end of next year the prices are anticipated to drop. And this brings a disinflationist effect and for the first round, somewhere a drop in the oil price of about 10% - it would mean effect of round one, somewhere about 0.2 percentage point of inflation. And the effects of round two get somewhere to 0.4%, said Ciprian Dascalu on Friday at the annual conference of the Association of Financial-Banking Analysts of Romania (AAFBR), event organised with the support of PwC Romania and BRD -GSG. As regards interests, he said that BNR closed down its cycle of strengthening on the key rate at 6.75% in November. Asked about the possible key interest for next year, he said that he sees it as constant for the whole of 2023. At the same time, Florian Libocor, founding member of AAFBR, head economist with BRD-GSG stated that 2023 will not mean recession for Romania, but a slowing down of the growth rhythm. He mentioned that next year will be a year of resilience.
The gross income of employees who worked full-time under a labour contract and were paid for the entire month of October 2024 was RON 8,374, more than a quarter above the basic gross salary of RON 6,553, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Around 40% of these employees earned […]
Over 31,600 building permits for residential properties were issued in the first ten months of this year, up 4.1% compared with the same period last year, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) published on Friday.Increases were recorded in all development regions: West (+297 permits), Centre (+235), North-West (+192), North-East (+134), South-East […]
VAT revenues increased in the third quarter of this year by 6.74 billion lei compared to the same period last year, totaling 35.48 billion RON, out of a total of 94.75 billion RON for the first nine months of 2025, according to data transmitted on Monday by the Ministry of Finance.Of the amount of 6.74 […]
Banca Comerciala Romana (BCR) listed on Friday a new bond issue on the Regulated Market of the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB), worth 1.12 billion RON, the BVB said in a release.This is the 11th bond issue listed by BCR on the Stock Exchange to date, bringing the total value of BCR's listed bonds close to […]
Romania's insurance sector is strengthening its performance against the backdrop of a dynamic market undergoing significant structural transformation, according to a new study on developments in the insurance markets of Central and Eastern Europe, conducted by a consultancy firm in partnership with a research provider."Romania stands out as one of the most dynamic insurance […]
The minimum turnover tax is a barrier to investment, and in a period when the private sector is undergoing restructuring and layoffs, it adds additional pressure on companies, according to a letter signed by 14 investor organizations that once again request the elimination of the minimum tax."In view of the discussions on the construction […]
