Romania's economy could grow next year by 2.1% and inflation could be 8.7% at the end of the year, says Ciprian Dascalu, head economist with BCR. 'Our forecast says: 2.1 economic growth next year. To mention some background hypotheses. I think the main hypothesis is growth in the euro zone - 0.1% - similar to the working hypothesis. To give it some flexibility, if from this 0.1% we go to -1/+1% namely an adjustment of a percentage point on one side or another of the growth in the euro zone affects the growth prognosis for GDP in Romania with almost 0.7 - 0.8 %. This is the flexibility in our estimate.Inflation 8.7% at the end of the year. Again, the hypothesis that the measures will remain and they have already been approved extended, the support measures for the costs with energy up to 2025. Another hypothesis is oil price. If we watch futures curve for oil, at the end of next year the prices are anticipated to drop. And this brings a disinflationist effect and for the first round, somewhere a drop in the oil price of about 10% - it would mean effect of round one, somewhere about 0.2 percentage point of inflation. And the effects of round two get somewhere to 0.4%, said Ciprian Dascalu on Friday at the annual conference of the Association of Financial-Banking Analysts of Romania (AAFBR), event organised with the support of PwC Romania and BRD -GSG. As regards interests, he said that BNR closed down its cycle of strengthening on the key rate at 6.75% in November. Asked about the possible key interest for next year, he said that he sees it as constant for the whole of 2023. At the same time, Florian Libocor, founding member of AAFBR, head economist with BRD-GSG stated that 2023 will not mean recession for Romania, but a slowing down of the growth rhythm. He mentioned that next year will be a year of resilience.
State-controlled Hidroelectrica (BVB: H2O) allegedly supplied electricity for years to politically connected companies and religious institutions without issuing invoices or collecting payments, according to public data analysed by investigative platform Recorder. The supplies...
Altex Romania will develop in the following year the DIY chain Brico Dépôt by securing ownership of the rented stores, upgrading the entire chain, and opening three to five new stores per year after the transition year 2026, Altex founder, main shareholder, and CEO Dan Ostahie announced after his company took over the do-it-yourself chain […]
The government announced it selected, on November 27, a president and two vice-presidents for the Agency for Monitoring and Evaluation of Public Enterprises' Performance (AMEPIP). The action was a milestone under the Resilience Facility due November 28, after the expiry of the six-month extra time allowed by the European Commission, with a EUR 330 million […]
Romania's Ministry of Finance published for debate the draft emergency ordinance (OUG) on the second budget rectification of this year on the evening of November 27. According to the document, the general government budget deficit will remain at 8.4% of GDP, Hotnews.ro reported. Central government budget revenues for...
Romania’s general government budget deficit halved y/y to RON 6.4 billion (EUR 1.25 billion) in October, when the tax revenues increased by 15.6% y/y – ten times the 1.5% y/y advance of current expenditures, according to data published by the Finance Ministry. Notably, the payroll narrowed by 4.0% y/y and the expenditures with goods and services by […]
Romania’s Craiova has been named the best Christmas market in Europe 2026 after securing a record number of votes in the annual competition run by European Best Destinations. The results were announced on Thursday evening, November 27, following a week of online voting. This year, 803,258 travellers from 179 countries have voted and shared their passion on […]
