Romania's economy could grow next year by 2.1% and inflation could be 8.7% at the end of the year, says Ciprian Dascalu, head economist with BCR. 'Our forecast says: 2.1 economic growth next year. To mention some background hypotheses. I think the main hypothesis is growth in the euro zone - 0.1% - similar to the working hypothesis. To give it some flexibility, if from this 0.1% we go to -1/+1% namely an adjustment of a percentage point on one side or another of the growth in the euro zone affects the growth prognosis for GDP in Romania with almost 0.7 - 0.8 %. This is the flexibility in our estimate.Inflation 8.7% at the end of the year. Again, the hypothesis that the measures will remain and they have already been approved extended, the support measures for the costs with energy up to 2025. Another hypothesis is oil price. If we watch futures curve for oil, at the end of next year the prices are anticipated to drop. And this brings a disinflationist effect and for the first round, somewhere a drop in the oil price of about 10% - it would mean effect of round one, somewhere about 0.2 percentage point of inflation. And the effects of round two get somewhere to 0.4%, said Ciprian Dascalu on Friday at the annual conference of the Association of Financial-Banking Analysts of Romania (AAFBR), event organised with the support of PwC Romania and BRD -GSG. As regards interests, he said that BNR closed down its cycle of strengthening on the key rate at 6.75% in November. Asked about the possible key interest for next year, he said that he sees it as constant for the whole of 2023. At the same time, Florian Libocor, founding member of AAFBR, head economist with BRD-GSG stated that 2023 will not mean recession for Romania, but a slowing down of the growth rhythm. He mentioned that next year will be a year of resilience.
Romanian prime minister Marcel Ciolacu said on Monday, February 24, that a "lasting peace" in Ukraine cannot be achieved without the involvement of the United States, and argued that Romania does not have to choose between it and the European Union. The statements come as the Trump administration is currently negotiating a resolution to the […]
Romania's acting president, Ilie Bolojan, has invited leaders of parliamentary parties to consultations on Wednesday, February 26, to prepare the country's stance for the extraordinary European Council meeting on March 6 in Brussels. The summit, convened by European Council president Antonio Costa,...
Roughly 40 searches took place in the Port of Constanța and other locations on Monday, February 24, in an investigation by the Anti-Corruption Directorate, or DNA, targeting influential local businessmen, former customs officials in the port, and one of the leaders of the Constanța branch of the governing Social Democratic Party (PSD). The prosecutors’ accusations […]
The Bucharest Community Foundation has announced funding for two new projects aimed at enhancing climate resilience in the Romanian capital by implementing sustainable ecological solutions to improve urban infrastructure and environmental quality. The projects were selected through the sixth round of the Environmental Platform for Bucharest initiative. Out of 16 eligible proposals, the jury chose […]
One of the hostages released on Saturday, February 22, by the terrorist organization Hamas also holds Romanian citizenship. The exchange took place before another setback in negotiations and exchanges. Hostages Tal Shoham and Avera Mengistu were released during a staged event in Rafah, and hostages Eliya Cohen, Omer Shem Tov, and Omer Wenkert were released […]
Polish company Scallier, who is expanding its network of Funshop Park retail parks in Romania, is set to open a new shopping center in the Arad region. The opening date for the roughly 10,000 sqm retail park is March 6. The decision to build a retail park in the Arad region in western Romania was […]
