Romania's economy will grow by 4% this year, and the growth will slow down to 3.5% in 2023 as the central bank will have to rise the refinancing rate to 7% by the end of this year (versus the 8%-9% ideal rate of the refinancing rate), according to a research report published by OTP Bank Romania. The fiscal consolidation has stalled and will resume maybe next year, while the current account (CA) deficit may exceed expectations this year amid high energy prices and slower fiscal consolidation, the report reads, concluding that the twin deficit issue remains relevant. "In a regional context, the comparison suggests a more optimistic average growth performance for Romania. Although, for next year, the prediction is pessimistic, with a lower expected result. At the moment, all areas are affected, given inflation - trade, real income, interest rates or fiscal consolidation, which has stalled at this time. [...] The positive outlook is also complemented by the fact that Romania is expected to receive European funds of about 3.5% of GDP annually in this forecast horizon," OTP Bank analysts argue, quoted by Bankingnews.ro. "Under the baseline scenario, inflation could peak in June at a level slightly below 15%, but in the period to come, the decline will be slow, and we should be prepared not to see single-digit rates until March next year. Energy and food growth are now passing through to core inflation [...]. In addition, we can anticipate another increase in the price of energy for household use in April next year, when the current cap-and-subsidy scheme expires," the report reads. OTP Bank expects the National Bank of Romania to conduct more hawkish policy towards the end of the year, yet along the line of moderation followed so far. "The current level of the key policy rate, of 3.75%, still lags very much behind the evolutions of the inflation and the risk premium for the Romanian assets and it is very likely to see it increasing to 7.0% by the end of the year, while the market suggests a level of 8-9%," according to bank analysts' expectations.
A moose has been unexpectedly spotted in the Hunedoara county area, specialists from the conservation group Rewilding Romania announced on Wednesday, December 10, sharing footage of the animal on social media. The sighting is considered “an important discovery for Romania’s wildlife,” though experts caution that it remains unclear how the animal reached this region. According […]
Trade unionists will continue to require the Presidential Administration to mediate the conflict with the government on issues such as the minimum wage or the collective labour agreement, said Bogdan Hossu, president of the Cartel Alfa trade union confederation, as reported by
Prime minister Ilie Bolojan said on Wednesday, December 10, that Romania’s state budget for 2026 will be adopted only at the end of January, citing the need for Parliament to first approve legislation required to ensure predictability and compliance with the country’s deficit targets. His comments came as the government has been working to align […]
Bosch announced that its Global Business Services centre in Romania, at Timisoara, plans to reduce approximately 510 positions of the existing 1,800 by the end of 2030 as part of a cost-cutting plan that aims to lay off 13,000 employees worldwide across the entire group. The company cited “stagnant demand for services” and “productivity potentials […]
Romanian dairy producer Artesana will begin construction of a new factory in 2025, an investment estimated at EUR 8-10 million with production specialised in cheese products scheduled to start in 2027, Mediafax.ro reported. The company said...
Roșii Românești, a company registered in Timișoara as part of the Polish group Citronex, has begun its planned EUR 20 million investment in the construction of a modern hydroponic tomato greenhouse complex, accompanied by a packaging space, road infrastructure, logistics platforms, and utility connections. The documents have been submitted to the Environmental Agency, and production […]
