Romania's economy will grow by 4% this year, and the growth will slow down to 3.5% in 2023 as the central bank will have to rise the refinancing rate to 7% by the end of this year (versus the 8%-9% ideal rate of the refinancing rate), according to a research report published by OTP Bank Romania. The fiscal consolidation has stalled and will resume maybe next year, while the current account (CA) deficit may exceed expectations this year amid high energy prices and slower fiscal consolidation, the report reads, concluding that the twin deficit issue remains relevant. "In a regional context, the comparison suggests a more optimistic average growth performance for Romania. Although, for next year, the prediction is pessimistic, with a lower expected result. At the moment, all areas are affected, given inflation - trade, real income, interest rates or fiscal consolidation, which has stalled at this time. [...] The positive outlook is also complemented by the fact that Romania is expected to receive European funds of about 3.5% of GDP annually in this forecast horizon," OTP Bank analysts argue, quoted by Bankingnews.ro. "Under the baseline scenario, inflation could peak in June at a level slightly below 15%, but in the period to come, the decline will be slow, and we should be prepared not to see single-digit rates until March next year. Energy and food growth are now passing through to core inflation [...]. In addition, we can anticipate another increase in the price of energy for household use in April next year, when the current cap-and-subsidy scheme expires," the report reads. OTP Bank expects the National Bank of Romania to conduct more hawkish policy towards the end of the year, yet along the line of moderation followed so far. "The current level of the key policy rate, of 3.75%, still lags very much behind the evolutions of the inflation and the risk premium for the Romanian assets and it is very likely to see it increasing to 7.0% by the end of the year, while the market suggests a level of 8-9%," according to bank analysts' expectations.
The ECOTECA Association, in partnership with the Ministry of Environment, Waters and Forests, is organizing the conference “Return & Recycle Insights – 2 Years of DRS in Romania”, which will take place on 26 November 2025, between 09:00 – 13:00, at the Bucharest University of Economic Studies (ASE). The event will bring together representatives […]
Nine years after opening its doors, Veranda Mall enters its most exciting chapter yet. What began as a project to breathe new life into the Obor neighborhood has evolved into one of Bucharest’s most beloved destinations for shopping, leisure, and connection. As it marks this anniversary, Veranda unveils a winter events lineup rich in culture, […]
Purcari Wineries (BVB: WINE), CEE’s leading wine producer, announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2025 on Friday, November 14. The company saw a decline of 1.46% in pretax EBITDA earnings from the similar period last year. Specifically, earnings decreased to RON 84.66 million from RON 85.92 million last year. Meanwhile, group […]
With a solid 35-year uninterrupted presence on the Romanian market, Darian—one of the longest-standing consultancy groups with fully Romanian capital—reaffirms its role as a strategic partner for the business environment. Darian marks this anniversary not through grand promises, but by strengthening its core working philosophy: acting as a “co-pilot” for complex decision-making. The company emphasizes […]
The National Bank of Romania (BNR) revised its inflation forecast upward, from 8.8% to 9.6%, for the end of 2025. The institution anticipates that inflation will reach 3.7% at the end of 2026, compared to 3% in the previous forecast, according to data presented on Friday, November 14, by governor Mugur Isărescu. Compared to the […]
The state-owned company Transelectrica (BVB: TEL), the operator of the Romanian national energy system, recorded a net profit of RON 183 million in the first nine months of the year, down 56% compared to the same period last year. Operating revenues fell by 2%, to RON 1.716 billion, mainly due to the decrease in revenues […]
