Romania's economy will grow by 4% this year, and the growth will slow down to 3.5% in 2023 as the central bank will have to rise the refinancing rate to 7% by the end of this year (versus the 8%-9% ideal rate of the refinancing rate), according to a research report published by OTP Bank Romania. The fiscal consolidation has stalled and will resume maybe next year, while the current account (CA) deficit may exceed expectations this year amid high energy prices and slower fiscal consolidation, the report reads, concluding that the twin deficit issue remains relevant. "In a regional context, the comparison suggests a more optimistic average growth performance for Romania. Although, for next year, the prediction is pessimistic, with a lower expected result. At the moment, all areas are affected, given inflation - trade, real income, interest rates or fiscal consolidation, which has stalled at this time. [...] The positive outlook is also complemented by the fact that Romania is expected to receive European funds of about 3.5% of GDP annually in this forecast horizon," OTP Bank analysts argue, quoted by Bankingnews.ro. "Under the baseline scenario, inflation could peak in June at a level slightly below 15%, but in the period to come, the decline will be slow, and we should be prepared not to see single-digit rates until March next year. Energy and food growth are now passing through to core inflation [...]. In addition, we can anticipate another increase in the price of energy for household use in April next year, when the current cap-and-subsidy scheme expires," the report reads. OTP Bank expects the National Bank of Romania to conduct more hawkish policy towards the end of the year, yet along the line of moderation followed so far. "The current level of the key policy rate, of 3.75%, still lags very much behind the evolutions of the inflation and the risk premium for the Romanian assets and it is very likely to see it increasing to 7.0% by the end of the year, while the market suggests a level of 8-9%," according to bank analysts' expectations.
The exhibition RomanIa – Identity representation of traditional dress in art, currently on view at the National Museum of Art of Romania (MNAR), gathers a variety of artistic representations of the traditional blouse ia, from painting and sculpture, to drawing, photography, installation, film, music, posters, fashion, books, albums, and more. It includes works by Henri […]
Over 136,000 non-EU citizens held residence permits for employment in Romania at the end of August this year, most of them coming from Nepal, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Moldova, and India, and two out of three immigrants live in Bucharest, Ilfov, Constanța, Timiș, and Cluj, according to a study conducted by the Economic and Social Council. […]
Romanian prosecutors conducted house searches in 12 locations in Bucharest and two in Târgu Mureș on Wednesday, November 26, in a case targeting former employees of bankrupt insurer Euroins. Specifically, the searches targeted 10 individuals who held executive management positions within Euroins, as well as the headquarters of legal entities controlled by the Bulgarian shareholders […]
Prices in Bucharest’s premium residential market have doubled over the past few years, reaching record highs amid a severe shortage of supply in the city’s most exclusive neighborhoods, Cushman & Wakefield Echinox said. Areas such as Primăverii, Kiseleff, Aviatorilor, and Dorobanți continue to dominate demand. Over the past 2 or 3 years, prices for premium […]
The Romanian Consulate in New York shared on social media the story of George Pomuț (George Pomutz, born Gheorghe Pomuț), the Romanian-American who facilitated the sale of Alaska to the US. Despite his role in US history, the Romanian is largely unknown today, the Consulate noted. Pomuț was born in the Hungarian town of Gyula, […]
Shares of Cris-Tim Family Holding (BVB: CFH) began trading on the Bucharest Stock Exchange on November 26 after an IPO worth RON 454.35 million (EUR 89.3 million) conducted last month. Cris-Tim is now the largest entrepreneurial company in the food sector on the BVB Main Market. The funds raised from institutional and over 8,000 retail […]
