The Romanian banks hold in their portfolio Government papers (bonds and bills) worth 7% of GDP, the highest amount in Europe, and this might bring them significant losses if the interest rates are rising and the yield curve flattens, according to Florian Neagu, deputy head of the macrostability division of the National bank of Romania (BNR), quoted by Economica.net. The losses potentially incurred by banks under adverse scenarios may reach 17.6% of the portfolio of assets and liabilities sensitive to interest rates, he explained. The banking system’s profitability is high, and the solvency ratio is strong, he said, adding that all these can deteriorate under certain circumstances. In fact, the Romanian banks’ profitability (13% return on equity versus 7.6% in EU) is above the EU average, and above the profitability in the real sector, the BNR official stated. The solvency ratio (22% versus 17.1% in the EU) is also above average, and the non-performing loans ratio is still small (3.7%) even if above the EU average (2.5%). However, the solvency ratio can lose 2pp from distributing dividends, another 2pp when building up provisions next year. The losses generated by adverse developments of the interests and yield curve would come on top of these two effects.
By Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Permanent Representative to the Council of Europe, Dr. Ion I. Jinga Strasbourg, January 2025 Motto: “Precedents in history can furnish no other light than that of beacons, which give warning on the course to be shunned, without pointing out that which ought to be pursued.” Alexander Hamilton, Founding […]
A technical evaluation mission of the Secretariat of the Corporate Governance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) took place on January 20-23 at the General Secretariat of the Government (SGG).According to SGG, the major objective of the mission was to analyse and evaluate the implementation by Romania, as a candidate state, […]
The state budget deficit forecast for 2025 has increased to the average value of expectations of 7.3% of GDP and economic growth expectations are at the average value of 1.3%, according to the estimates of analysts from the CFA Romania Association.Public debt calculated as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase to 57% in […]
New orders in the manufacturing industry increased by 2.7%, in nominal terms, overall (domestic and foreign markets), between January 1 and November 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, according to data published on Thursday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).In the same period, the evolution of new orders in the manufacturing […]
The Élysée Treaty is the foundation of the close Franco-German friendship and the symbol of reconciliation between Germany and France after World War II, said the German ambassador in Bucharest, Peer Gebauer.The message is sent by the German diplomatic mission in the context in which Germany and France celebrate 62 years since the signing of […]
The presidential candidate of the PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition (Social Democratic Party, National Liberal Party, Democratic Union of Hungarians of Romania), Crin Antonescu, on Tuesday stated that president Klaus Iohannis should have terminated his mandate as soon as the new Parliament was configured, in the context in which "he doesn't at least communicate with the people.""For the […]
